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購房成本創(chuàng)新高,美國購房人紛紛打起退堂鼓

ALENA BOTROS
2024-07-25

雖然賣房人開始降價(jià),但顯然力度不夠。

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Redfin表示:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協(xié)議。”圖片來源:GETTY IMAGES

美國房地產(chǎn)成交量持續(xù)下降。據(jù)Redfin統(tǒng)計(jì),上個(gè)月約有56,000份購房協(xié)議被取消,這相當(dāng)于15%的已簽約住宅,“這是有史以來6月份比例最高的一次”。

Redfin今天公布的一份分析報(bào)告稱:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協(xié)議?!痹搱?bào)告提到6月份的中位數(shù)房屋售價(jià),同比上漲了4%,達(dá)到442,525美元。報(bào)告中還提到了平均30年期固定抵押貸款利率(6.92%)。

雖然賣房人開始降價(jià),但顯然力度不夠。上個(gè)月,約五分之一待售房屋曾經(jīng)降價(jià),這是有紀(jì)錄以來在任何一年的6月份,降價(jià)住宅比例最高的一次。這比去年增長了超過14%,與兩年前的10月份創(chuàng)下的歷史紀(jì)錄相差無幾。Redfin表示:“一些賣房人之所以降價(jià),是因?yàn)樗麄兊姆孔釉谑袌錾祥L期無人問津,原因是持續(xù)的可負(fù)擔(dān)性危機(jī)影響了購房人。”

6月份賣出的房子,在市場上等待交易的時(shí)間通常為32天,與去年同期相比延長了三天。待售房屋總量同比增長了近13%,這是史上最大年度漲幅。但房屋銷售卻并不景氣。根據(jù)Redfin統(tǒng)計(jì)的數(shù)據(jù),6月份房屋銷量下滑:環(huán)比下滑0.5%,同比下滑1.1%;比疫情之前減少了21.5%。房地產(chǎn)市場的情況大致相同——庫存增多,但需求下降,導(dǎo)致房子待售時(shí)間更長,房屋銷售停滯。

Redfin表示:“房屋銷售低迷的原因是,許多美國人買不起房,而且盡管6月份抵押貸款利率有所下降(本月進(jìn)一步下降),但一些購房人選擇了繼續(xù)觀望,期待利率進(jìn)一步下降?!?/p>

據(jù)全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)(National Association of Realtors)統(tǒng)計(jì),6月份現(xiàn)房銷量環(huán)比和同比均下降了5.4%。

全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家勞倫斯·伊恩在新聞稿中表示:“我們看到市場正在緩慢從賣方市場轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)橘I方市場。房屋待售時(shí)間更長,賣房人收到的報(bào)價(jià)更少。更多購房人堅(jiān)持要求進(jìn)行房屋檢查和評(píng)估,而全美的高庫存正在增多。”

Redfin的分析報(bào)告與全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)的調(diào)查結(jié)果遙相呼應(yīng)。Redfin在報(bào)告中引用一位舊金山房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人的話稱:“購房人變得越來越挑剔……他們因?yàn)橐恍┪⒉蛔愕赖膯栴}打退堂鼓,因?yàn)槟壳芭c買房有關(guān)的月度成本過高,如果房子不符合他們必備清單上的所有條件,他們沒有理由購買?!?/p>

據(jù)全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)統(tǒng)計(jì),上個(gè)月,現(xiàn)房中位數(shù)售價(jià)上漲至426,900美元;這是該價(jià)格連續(xù)兩個(gè)月刷新歷史紀(jì)錄,并且連續(xù)12個(gè)月上漲。雖然這個(gè)價(jià)格略低于Redfin的預(yù)估,但依舊是很高的價(jià)格,特別是考慮到比疫情期間增長了一倍以上的抵押貸款利率。

在有些地區(qū),購房人打退堂鼓的比例似乎更高,首當(dāng)其沖的是佛羅里達(dá)州的三個(gè)大都市區(qū)。在奧蘭多,約900份購房協(xié)議被取消,相當(dāng)于6月份已簽約房屋的近21%。在杰克遜維爾和坦帕,同期取消購房協(xié)議的房屋占已簽約房屋的20.5%。

但佛羅里達(dá)州的情況較為特殊。來自邁阿密的一位Redfin房屋中介表示:“我們看到協(xié)議在最后時(shí)刻因?yàn)樽钗⒉蛔愕赖脑虮蝗∠?,這是噩夢般的情景?!?月份,邁阿密共有約2,500份購房協(xié)議被取消,超過已簽約房屋的17%。

他還表示:“購房人經(jīng)常在房屋檢查期間取消協(xié)議,因?yàn)樗麄儠?huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)一些不喜歡的問題,但根本原因在于可負(fù)擔(dān)性問題。我不希望我的客戶會(huì)對(duì)在佛羅里達(dá)州擁有住房的所有成本感到意外,因此我會(huì)建議他們提前了解除了月供以外的保險(xiǎn)、房產(chǎn)稅和[業(yè)主委員會(huì)]費(fèi)用等。”

此外,Redfin在6月初的另外一份分析報(bào)告發(fā)現(xiàn),佛羅里達(dá)州西部的房地產(chǎn)市場降溫速度超過美國其他地區(qū),原因包括:日益嚴(yán)重的自然災(zāi)害、大量新建房屋和疫情時(shí)期的繁榮過后需求低迷等。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

美國房地產(chǎn)成交量持續(xù)下降。據(jù)Redfin統(tǒng)計(jì),上個(gè)月約有56,000份購房協(xié)議被取消,這相當(dāng)于15%的已簽約住宅,“這是有史以來6月份比例最高的一次”。

Redfin今天公布的一份分析報(bào)告稱:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協(xié)議?!痹搱?bào)告提到6月份的中位數(shù)房屋售價(jià),同比上漲了4%,達(dá)到442,525美元。報(bào)告中還提到了平均30年期固定抵押貸款利率(6.92%)。

雖然賣房人開始降價(jià),但顯然力度不夠。上個(gè)月,約五分之一待售房屋曾經(jīng)降價(jià),這是有紀(jì)錄以來在任何一年的6月份,降價(jià)住宅比例最高的一次。這比去年增長了超過14%,與兩年前的10月份創(chuàng)下的歷史紀(jì)錄相差無幾。Redfin表示:“一些賣房人之所以降價(jià),是因?yàn)樗麄兊姆孔釉谑袌錾祥L期無人問津,原因是持續(xù)的可負(fù)擔(dān)性危機(jī)影響了購房人?!?/p>

6月份賣出的房子,在市場上等待交易的時(shí)間通常為32天,與去年同期相比延長了三天。待售房屋總量同比增長了近13%,這是史上最大年度漲幅。但房屋銷售卻并不景氣。根據(jù)Redfin統(tǒng)計(jì)的數(shù)據(jù),6月份房屋銷量下滑:環(huán)比下滑0.5%,同比下滑1.1%;比疫情之前減少了21.5%。房地產(chǎn)市場的情況大致相同——庫存增多,但需求下降,導(dǎo)致房子待售時(shí)間更長,房屋銷售停滯。

Redfin表示:“房屋銷售低迷的原因是,許多美國人買不起房,而且盡管6月份抵押貸款利率有所下降(本月進(jìn)一步下降),但一些購房人選擇了繼續(xù)觀望,期待利率進(jìn)一步下降?!?/p>

據(jù)全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)(National Association of Realtors)統(tǒng)計(jì),6月份現(xiàn)房銷量環(huán)比和同比均下降了5.4%。

全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家勞倫斯·伊恩在新聞稿中表示:“我們看到市場正在緩慢從賣方市場轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)橘I方市場。房屋待售時(shí)間更長,賣房人收到的報(bào)價(jià)更少。更多購房人堅(jiān)持要求進(jìn)行房屋檢查和評(píng)估,而全美的高庫存正在增多?!?/p>

Redfin的分析報(bào)告與全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)的調(diào)查結(jié)果遙相呼應(yīng)。Redfin在報(bào)告中引用一位舊金山房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人的話稱:“購房人變得越來越挑剔……他們因?yàn)橐恍┪⒉蛔愕赖膯栴}打退堂鼓,因?yàn)槟壳芭c買房有關(guān)的月度成本過高,如果房子不符合他們必備清單上的所有條件,他們沒有理由購買?!?/p>

據(jù)全美房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)統(tǒng)計(jì),上個(gè)月,現(xiàn)房中位數(shù)售價(jià)上漲至426,900美元;這是該價(jià)格連續(xù)兩個(gè)月刷新歷史紀(jì)錄,并且連續(xù)12個(gè)月上漲。雖然這個(gè)價(jià)格略低于Redfin的預(yù)估,但依舊是很高的價(jià)格,特別是考慮到比疫情期間增長了一倍以上的抵押貸款利率。

在有些地區(qū),購房人打退堂鼓的比例似乎更高,首當(dāng)其沖的是佛羅里達(dá)州的三個(gè)大都市區(qū)。在奧蘭多,約900份購房協(xié)議被取消,相當(dāng)于6月份已簽約房屋的近21%。在杰克遜維爾和坦帕,同期取消購房協(xié)議的房屋占已簽約房屋的20.5%。

但佛羅里達(dá)州的情況較為特殊。來自邁阿密的一位Redfin房屋中介表示:“我們看到協(xié)議在最后時(shí)刻因?yàn)樽钗⒉蛔愕赖脑虮蝗∠@是噩夢般的情景?!?月份,邁阿密共有約2,500份購房協(xié)議被取消,超過已簽約房屋的17%。

他還表示:“購房人經(jīng)常在房屋檢查期間取消協(xié)議,因?yàn)樗麄儠?huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)一些不喜歡的問題,但根本原因在于可負(fù)擔(dān)性問題。我不希望我的客戶會(huì)對(duì)在佛羅里達(dá)州擁有住房的所有成本感到意外,因此我會(huì)建議他們提前了解除了月供以外的保險(xiǎn)、房產(chǎn)稅和[業(yè)主委員會(huì)]費(fèi)用等?!?/p>

此外,Redfin在6月初的另外一份分析報(bào)告發(fā)現(xiàn),佛羅里達(dá)州西部的房地產(chǎn)市場降溫速度超過美國其他地區(qū),原因包括:日益嚴(yán)重的自然災(zāi)害、大量新建房屋和疫情時(shí)期的繁榮過后需求低迷等。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

Deals are falling through in the housing world. Roughly 56,000 home purchase agreements were called off last month, which translates to almost 15% of homes under contract at the time, “the highest percentage of any June on record,” according to Redfin.

“House hunters are having trouble committing because buying a home is more expensive than ever,” an analysis from Redfin published today read. It pointed to the median home sale price, which rose 4% from a year earlier to $442,525 in June, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, which was 6.92%.

Sellers even cut their prices, but it didn’t seem to be enough. About one in five homes for sale last month had a price reduction, the highest amount of any June on record. It was up more than 14% from a year ago and barely below a record set in October two years ago. “Some sellers are reducing their prices because their homes are sitting on the market and getting stale—the result of an ongoing affordability crisis impacting buyers,” Redfin said.

Homes sold in June typically spent 32 days on the market, three days longer than last year. The total number of homes for sale was close to 13% higher than a year ago, which happens to be the biggest annual increase on record. And yet, home sales were depressed. By Redfin’s count, home sales fell in June: 0.5% from a month before and 1.1% from a year ago; they were 21.5% below pre-pandemic numbers. It seems to be more of the same—inventory is improving, but demand is down, so homes are staying on the market longer, and sales are static.

“Sales are sluggish because many Americans can’t afford to buy homes, and because while mortgage rates ticked down in June (and have fallen further this month), some buyers are waiting on the sidelines in hopes that they’ll drop even more,” Redfin said.

Existing home sales in June fell 5.4% on a monthly and annual basis, according to the National Association of Realtors.

“We’re seeing a slow shift from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market,” NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, said in a release today. “Homes are sitting on the market a bit longer, and sellers are receiving fewer offers. More buyers are insisting on home inspections and appraisals, and inventory is definitively rising on a national basis.”

Redfin’s analysis echoed that finding, citing a San Francisco–based real estate agent who said: “Buyers are getting more and more selective… They’re backing out due to minor issues because the monthly costs associated with buying a home today are just too high to rationalize not getting everything on their must-have list.”

Last month, according to NAR, the median existing-home sales price escalated to $426,900; it was the second straight month the price reached an all-time high and the 12th consecutive month of yearly price gains. It’s slightly lower than Redfin’s estimate, but costly nonetheless, particularly when you couple it with mortgage rates that are still more than double their pandemic-era lows.

And it seems there are places where buyers are backpedaling more than others, starting with three metropolitan areas in Florida. In Orlando, about 900 purchase agreements were canceled, close to 21% of homes under contract in June. In Jacksonville and Tampa, 20.5% of homes under contract the same month fell through.

Florida’s situation is unique, however. “We’re seeing nightmare scenarios where deals are getting canceled at the last minute for the most minute reasons,” said a Redfin agent in Miami, where roughly 2,500 home purchases—more than 17% of homes under contract— were canceled in June.

He continued: “Buyers often back out during the inspection period because they find something they don’t like, but affordability is really the underlying issue. I don’t want my buyers to be surprised by all of the expenses that come with owning a home in Florida, so I advise them to proactively research the hefty costs of insurance, property taxes, and [homeowners association] fees, in addition to the cost of their mortgage payment.”

Separately, another Redfin analysis from early June found housing markets in western Florida were cooling faster than anywhere else in the country for a few reasons: the increasing severity of natural disasters, plenty of new construction, and fading demand after a pandemic-era boom.

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