每個人都想擁有一套簡易房。在競標戰中,有時這意味著每周五晚上都要請賣家吃披薩,但仍然會被拒絕。
這聽起來似乎很有趣,但全美有一半家庭的收入不足以購買一套簡易房。根據Redfin的數據,要買得起一套中等價位的簡易房,潛在購房者的年收入需要近8萬美元。然而,美國人口普查局(Census Bureau)的數據顯示,50.1%的家庭年收入不超過7.5萬美元。
普通股的簡易房通常只有一到兩間臥室。在另一個時代,它可能有三間臥室,面積可能在1200平方英尺(約合111.48平方米)左右。簡易房并不總是位于完美的社區或城市,但卻比中等水平的住宅更經濟實惠。最關鍵的一點是,現在的簡易房甚至都算不上簡易房了。人們可以購買的房屋數量在不斷減少,而且這種情況似乎還會持續一段時間。遺憾的是,這帶來的問題不僅僅是找不到住的地方。房地產是很多普通美國人積累財富的方式:他們買一棟小房子,房子升值,他們由此積累資產,然后出售,再買一棟更大的房子。每一次,他們的個人財富都會增加,但如今要做到這一點要難得多,而且對于大部分千禧一代和Z世代買家來說幾乎是不可能的。
分析指出:“美國人需要比一年前賺更多錢,而且比疫情前賺更多錢,才能買得起一套簡易房,原因是抵押貸款利率上升,房價接近歷史最高點。”上個月,抵押貸款利率平均為6.85%,遠低于春季,但與疫情低點相去甚遠:普通簡易房售價為25萬美元,創歷史新高。20萬美元簡易房的時代一去不復返了。
由于住房負擔能力如此惡化,那些原本可以負擔得起簡易房的家庭已經失去了優勢。Redfin表示:“房價上漲迫使許多中等收入的美國人購買簡易房,并將許多低收入家庭完全擠出市場。”
在隨后的分析中,該公司表示:“簡易房是熱門商品;低收入家庭、中等收入家庭和投資者都在爭相購買。”作者舉例說,由于更多人感興趣和庫存增加,上月待售簡易房銷量較上年同期增長10%。因此,找到簡易房變得更容易,但負擔能力卻惡化了。
密爾沃基的一位Redfin高級經紀人在報告中表示:“這里有一些既令人向往又負擔得起的社區,房屋售價在15萬至35萬美元之間。但首次購房者卻面臨著困難,因為這些房屋通常會收到至少五份報價。”在密爾沃基,簡易房的中位數價格為19.5萬美元。
“我最近以21萬美元的價格掛牌了一套房子,并收到了幾份報價。其中一份報價包括每周五晚上請賣家吃披薩,直到交易完成。我們最終選擇了出價更高的一方,但這是買家競相購買簡易房時所表現出的創造力的一個例子。”
據Redfin估計,在50個人口最多的大都市區中,有一半的家庭收入達到了當地的中位數,但卻無力購買簡易房。考慮一下南加州的部分地區,那里的家庭需要比當地估計的收入高出很多,才能購買一套簡易房。根據Redfin的數據,洛杉磯的收入中位數約為9.3萬美元。該房地產經紀公司與美國人口普查局的數據略有不同,后者列出的洛杉磯縣家庭收入中位數約為82500美元。總而言之,洛杉磯家庭的收入需要接近18.5萬美元,才能買得起一套價值65萬美元的普通簡易房。
在北加州,Redfin估計的收入中位數更高,但仍不足以負擔起一套普通的簡易房。在圣何塞,簡易房的中位數價格為97萬美元,而Redfin估算的收入中位數約為17萬美元。人口普查局的數據顯示,圣何塞、圣克拉拉縣地區的收入中位數接近15.5萬美元。與此同時,購買簡易房所需的收入超過29.9萬美元。
圣何塞地區的一位Redfin經紀人在分析中說道:“灣區的房價太高了,就連許多高收入的科技員工也望而卻步,所以他們開始關注周邊城市。我有一個客戶想在帕洛阿爾托買房,但已經負擔不起了,所以他們在森尼維耳市和圣克拉拉尋找住房。這使得鄰近城市的許多低收入者完全被排除在外。”
盡管這并不是什么新鮮事,但其中蘊含的含義卻十分恐怖。考慮到兩位候選人在住房問題上截然不同的政策建議和評論,在大選年住房危機的背景下,這一點值得關注。
Redfin首席經濟學家達里爾·費爾韋瑟(Daryl Fairweather)在分析中表示:“卡瑪拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)都承諾讓更多人負擔得起住房,但只有哈里斯表示住房問題是當務之急。她計劃新建300萬套住房,這將使普通美國家庭更能負擔得起簡易房。”
她繼續說道:“哈里斯提出的實現這一目標的途徑之一是通過激勵地方政府和補貼經濟適用房的建筑商。這可能有助于解決簡易房嚴重短缺的問題,尤其是在昂貴的沿海地區市場。”(財富中文網)
譯者:中慧言-王芳
每個人都想擁有一套簡易房。在競標戰中,有時這意味著每周五晚上都要請賣家吃披薩,但仍然會被拒絕。
這聽起來似乎很有趣,但全美有一半家庭的收入不足以購買一套簡易房。根據Redfin的數據,要買得起一套中等價位的簡易房,潛在購房者的年收入需要近8萬美元。然而,美國人口普查局(Census Bureau)的數據顯示,50.1%的家庭年收入不超過7.5萬美元。
普通股的簡易房通常只有一到兩間臥室。在另一個時代,它可能有三間臥室,面積可能在1200平方英尺(約合111.48平方米)左右。簡易房并不總是位于完美的社區或城市,但卻比中等水平的住宅更經濟實惠。最關鍵的一點是,現在的簡易房甚至都算不上簡易房了。人們可以購買的房屋數量在不斷減少,而且這種情況似乎還會持續一段時間。遺憾的是,這帶來的問題不僅僅是找不到住的地方。房地產是很多普通美國人積累財富的方式:他們買一棟小房子,房子升值,他們由此積累資產,然后出售,再買一棟更大的房子。每一次,他們的個人財富都會增加,但如今要做到這一點要難得多,而且對于大部分千禧一代和Z世代買家來說幾乎是不可能的。
分析指出:“美國人需要比一年前賺更多錢,而且比疫情前賺更多錢,才能買得起一套簡易房,原因是抵押貸款利率上升,房價接近歷史最高點。”上個月,抵押貸款利率平均為6.85%,遠低于春季,但與疫情低點相去甚遠:普通簡易房售價為25萬美元,創歷史新高。20萬美元簡易房的時代一去不復返了。
由于住房負擔能力如此惡化,那些原本可以負擔得起簡易房的家庭已經失去了優勢。Redfin表示:“房價上漲迫使許多中等收入的美國人購買簡易房,并將許多低收入家庭完全擠出市場。”
在隨后的分析中,該公司表示:“簡易房是熱門商品;低收入家庭、中等收入家庭和投資者都在爭相購買。”作者舉例說,由于更多人感興趣和庫存增加,上月待售簡易房銷量較上年同期增長10%。因此,找到簡易房變得更容易,但負擔能力卻惡化了。
密爾沃基的一位Redfin高級經紀人在報告中表示:“這里有一些既令人向往又負擔得起的社區,房屋售價在15萬至35萬美元之間。但首次購房者卻面臨著困難,因為這些房屋通常會收到至少五份報價。”在密爾沃基,簡易房的中位數價格為19.5萬美元。
“我最近以21萬美元的價格掛牌了一套房子,并收到了幾份報價。其中一份報價包括每周五晚上請賣家吃披薩,直到交易完成。我們最終選擇了出價更高的一方,但這是買家競相購買簡易房時所表現出的創造力的一個例子。”
據Redfin估計,在50個人口最多的大都市區中,有一半的家庭收入達到了當地的中位數,但卻無力購買簡易房。考慮一下南加州的部分地區,那里的家庭需要比當地估計的收入高出很多,才能購買一套簡易房。根據Redfin的數據,洛杉磯的收入中位數約為9.3萬美元。該房地產經紀公司與美國人口普查局的數據略有不同,后者列出的洛杉磯縣家庭收入中位數約為82500美元。總而言之,洛杉磯家庭的收入需要接近18.5萬美元,才能買得起一套價值65萬美元的普通簡易房。
在北加州,Redfin估計的收入中位數更高,但仍不足以負擔起一套普通的簡易房。在圣何塞,簡易房的中位數價格為97萬美元,而Redfin估算的收入中位數約為17萬美元。人口普查局的數據顯示,圣何塞、圣克拉拉縣地區的收入中位數接近15.5萬美元。與此同時,購買簡易房所需的收入超過29.9萬美元。
圣何塞地區的一位Redfin經紀人在分析中說道:“灣區的房價太高了,就連許多高收入的科技員工也望而卻步,所以他們開始關注周邊城市。我有一個客戶想在帕洛阿爾托買房,但已經負擔不起了,所以他們在森尼維耳市和圣克拉拉尋找住房。這使得鄰近城市的許多低收入者完全被排除在外。”
盡管這并不是什么新鮮事,但其中蘊含的含義卻十分恐怖。考慮到兩位候選人在住房問題上截然不同的政策建議和評論,在大選年住房危機的背景下,這一點值得關注。
Redfin首席經濟學家達里爾·費爾韋瑟(Daryl Fairweather)在分析中表示:“卡瑪拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)都承諾讓更多人負擔得起住房,但只有哈里斯表示住房問題是當務之急。她計劃新建300萬套住房,這將使普通美國家庭更能負擔得起簡易房。”
她繼續說道:“哈里斯提出的實現這一目標的途徑之一是通過激勵地方政府和補貼經濟適用房的建筑商。這可能有助于解決簡易房嚴重短缺的問題,尤其是在昂貴的沿海地區市場。”(財富中文網)
譯者:中慧言-王芳
Everyone wants a starter home. In bidding wars, sometimes it means buying a seller pizza every Friday night, and still getting passed up.
It may sound as if it’s all fun and games, but half of all households in the country don’t earn enough money to buy a simple starter place. To afford a median-priced starter home, would-be buyers need to earn almost $80,000 a year, according to Redfin. Yet, Census Bureau data shows 50.1% of households earn $75,000 or less.
A typical starter home is usually one to two bedrooms. In another time, it may have been three and probably around 1,200 square feet. They aren’t always in the perfect neighborhood or city, but they are more affordable than a mid-tier home. The crucial point is starter homes are hardly even starter homes anymore. How much home people can buy keeps dwindling and it seems as though it’ll continue to do so for some time. Unfortunately, this poses a problem apart from simply finding a place to live. Real estate is the way a lot of typical Americans build wealth; they buy one small house, it appreciates, they build equity, and then they sell and buy a bigger one. Each time, they move up in terms of personal wealth, but that is much harder to do today—and nearly impossible for large swaths of millennial and Gen-Z buyers.
“Americans need to earn more than a year ago–and much more than before the pandemic–to afford a starter home because mortgage rates are elevated and home prices are near record highs,” the analysis stated. Last month, mortgage rates averaged 6.85%, much lower than in the spring, but a far cry away from the pandemic lows; and the typical starter home sold for $250,000, a record high. Gone are the days of $200,000 starter homes.
Because housing affordability is so strained, households that could have previously afforded more than a starter home, have lost ground. “Rising prices have pushed many middle-income Americans to buy starter homes, and pushed many lower-income households out of the market altogether,” Redfin said.
Later in the analysis, it said: “Starter homes are a hot commodity; lower-income families, middle-income families and investors are all vying for them.” The author cited pending starter home sales, which rose 10% last month compared to a year earlier between increasing interest and inventory. So it’s become easier to find a starter home but harder to afford one.
“There are neighborhoods here that are both desirable and affordable, with homes selling in the $150,000 to $350,000 range. But first-time buyers are struggling because those homes typically get at least five offers,” a Redfin Premier agent in Milwaukee said in the report. In Milwaukee, the median starter home price is $195,000.
“I recently listed a house for $210,000 and it received several bids, one of which included an offer to buy the seller pizza every Friday night until the deal closed. We ended up going with a higher offer, but that’s an example of the creativity we’re seeing as buyers compete for starter homes.”
In half of the 50 most populous metropolitan areas, a family earning the local median income can’t afford to buy a starter home, according to Redfin’s estimates. Consider parts of Southern California, where families need to make substantially more than the estimated local income to buy a starter home. In Los Angeles, the median income is around $93,000, per Redfin. The real estate brokerage firm’s data differs slightly from the Census Bureau, which lists the median household income in Los Angeles county at around $82,500. All told, an LA household needs to earn close to $185,000 to afford a typical starter home valued at $650,000.
In Northern California, Redfin’s estimated median incomes are higher, and still not nearly enough to match what is needed to afford a typical starter home. In San Jose, the median price for a starter home is $970,000, and the median income is around $170,000 per Redfin. Census Bureau data shows it’s close to $155,000 for the San Jose, Santa Clara county area. Meanwhile, the income that’s needed to buy a starter home is more than $299,000.
“Homes in the Bay Area are so expensive that even many high-earning tech employees have been priced out of the area, so they’re looking at neighboring cities,” a Redfin agent in the San Jose area said in the analysis. “I have one client who wanted to buy in Palo Alto, but they can’t afford it anymore so they’re looking in Sunnyvale and Santa Clara. That’s pricing out a lot of lower earners in those neighboring cities completely.”
The implication of that is scary, even if it’s nothing new. And in an election year, in the midst of a housing crisis, it’s something to watch considering the two candidates’ very different policy proposals and commentary on housing.
“Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have promised to make homeownership more affordable, but only Harris has signaled that housing is a top priority,” Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather said in the analysis. “Her plan to build 3 million new homes could make starter homes more affordable for the average American family.”
She continued: “One pathway Harris has suggested for accomplishing that goal is through incentives to local governments and subsidies for builders of affordable housing. That could help battle the severe starter-home shortage, particularly in expensive coastal markets.”