社交媒體不再屬于你,不再屬于你的朋友,不再屬于仍留在家鄉的中學同學,也不再屬于你設置靜音但沒法取關的古怪表弟,因為畢竟是家人。如今的社交媒體已徹底成為意見領袖和靠制作內容為生的創作者的地盤。
社交媒體上已無普通人的立足之地。
“公開的社交媒體上,普通人發布的內容少了很多。”周一,Creator Ventures的聯合創始人兼管理合伙人薩沙·卡萊斯基在阿布扎比舉辦的《財富》全球論壇上表示。“因此,你的信息流里不再是高中朋友或七年前畢業舞會舞伴的動態。現在只能看到專業制作的娛樂內容。”
創作者經濟規模非常龐大,已經將社交媒體網絡從愉快分享之處變成蓬勃發展的內容業務全球分發平臺。高盛(Goldman Sachs)一份報告顯示,預計到2027年創作者經濟將成為4800億美元的產業,幾乎是目前2500億美元的兩倍。
創作者經濟不斷發展的同時也在改變社交媒體平臺。創作者常常受科技巨頭的算法支配。算法變化時,社交媒體的性質也會發生變化,迫使在平臺上謀生的人們跟著調整。正如一些科技高管所說,過分追求參與的算法有時會對用戶體驗造成損害。
社交媒體服務正變成“分發平臺,而不是粉絲平臺”,卡萊斯基表示,“各種原創平臺,不管是Twitter(現在改名為X)、Instagram,甚至當年的Facebook通用規則都是,用戶既關注朋友也關注某些創作者,然后在訂閱列表中看關注者發布的內容。信息流里有朋友發的內容,也有創作者發的內容。現在已經完全不同。未來五年將徹底變成完全看不到朋友動態的情況。”
卡萊斯基說,BeReal和Dispo等新出現的社交媒體公司希望將社交媒體扭轉回當初主要在朋友之間交流的樣子。但成功案例很少。除了BeReal和Dispo,卡萊斯基還提到了另一款社交應用Poparazzi,在蘋果應用商店排行榜上躋身前列一兩年后于今年5月關閉。盡管有人在努力復興老派社交媒體,然而用戶扎堆的應用都出自Meta、TikTok和Alphabet等當前科技巨頭,還有Snap和Twitter。
Creator Ventures聯合創始人卡斯帕·李表示,在當前形勢下,TikTok和Alphabet旗下模仿TikTok的YouTube Shorts有望成功。“X機會小一點,因為X平臺上的內容跟品牌關聯比較弱,比較難發展,如果品牌愿意付錢給創作者,讓他們繼續在當前平臺上創作內容,創作者就能活得很好。”李說。
內容創作者和贊助內容的廣告商之所以發現TikTok和YouTube Shorts很有吸引力,主要因為龐大的用戶基數。根據Alphabet的數據,YouTube Shorts每月登錄用戶達20億。截至今年3月,TikTok在美國的月活躍用戶約1.5億。而且一般來說,品牌投放的廣告和贊助內容旁邊不會出現存在爭議或冒犯性的內容,這是一直困擾X的問題。
僅在過去一周,X就流失了一些大廣告商,原因是X的所有者埃隆·馬斯克似乎支持了一個反猶太人的帖子。該事件之后,蘋果、IBM和旗下擁有NBC環球的康卡斯特(Comcast)等大公司都表示將暫停在該平臺投放廣告,X現任首席執行官琳達·雅卡里諾還曾在NBC環球負責全球廣告銷售。在馬斯克的領導下,8月X曾嘗試推出全新的廣告收入分享計劃,對有能力制作熱門內容的創作者提高激勵金額。不過受馬斯克的反猶太主義拖累,相關舉措進展很難衡量。
沒有什么比“人工智能生成的人物更不真實”
意見領袖不僅要跟隨社交媒體平臺的戰略調整,還要應對世界上最受關注的新技術崛起:人工智能。李和卡萊斯基都認為,人工智能在幫助創作者方面將發揮著關鍵作用,并不會完全取代。隨著人工智能發展,將出現新工具幫助創作者制作更多內容,如今已經成為不少初創公司、老公司和投資者的搖錢樹。舉例來說,PitchBook的數據顯示,卡萊斯基的公司Creator Ventures就已投資了估值10億美元的初創公司ElevenLabs,該公司利用人工智能模仿人類的聲音。
還在為YouTube頻道制作內容的李說,最近由于一個短劇中找不到其他人當配角,就嘗試用了ElevenLabs完成。
“通常情況下,如果視頻里需要另一個角色,我會強迫媽媽或者未婚妻幫忙。”李說。“但這次她們都沒空。所以我只好用了ElevenLabs,這樣內容里會出現另一個聲音,沒人知道這是人工智能生成的聲音。”
李補充說,這只是一個視頻里的“隨機角色”,所以“沒什么大不了。”但是,如果使用人工智能生成的聲音變得很普及,創作者和平臺就要明確提示觀眾哪里是人工智能。
最近幾個月,人工智能已經滲透到了創作者經濟的方方面面。類似Meta之類最大的社交媒體公司甚至已經開始試驗純人工智能意見領袖。這一嘗試引發一些父母、藝術家,還有發現自己作品頻繁遭模仿的創作者的質疑。相關創新代表了人工智能新的應用方式,對于不必向實際創作者付費的平臺來說,可能是削減成本的大好機會。但卡萊斯基認為真人意見領袖不太可能被取代。
“人們之所以關注社交媒體創作者,之所以愿意花工夫,部分原因是他們是真實的。”卡萊斯基說。“世界上沒什么比人工智能生成的人物更不真實。因此,人工智能在很多方面都比不上人類。”
不過卡萊斯基也委婉地說,人工智能生成角色可能是不錯的投資。“如果市場規模巨大,對我們來說是好消息,因為在創作者經濟中我們是技術投資者。”他說。“如果人工智能最終超過人類那就更棒了。但我認為不會出現。”(財富中文網)
譯者:夏林
社交媒體不再屬于你,不再屬于你的朋友,不再屬于仍留在家鄉的中學同學,也不再屬于你設置靜音但沒法取關的古怪表弟,因為畢竟是家人。如今的社交媒體已徹底成為意見領袖和靠制作內容為生的創作者的地盤。
社交媒體上已無普通人的立足之地。
“公開的社交媒體上,普通人發布的內容少了很多。”周一,Creator Ventures的聯合創始人兼管理合伙人薩沙·卡萊斯基在阿布扎比舉辦的《財富》全球論壇上表示。“因此,你的信息流里不再是高中朋友或七年前畢業舞會舞伴的動態。現在只能看到專業制作的娛樂內容。”
創作者經濟規模非常龐大,已經將社交媒體網絡從愉快分享之處變成蓬勃發展的內容業務全球分發平臺。高盛(Goldman Sachs)一份報告顯示,預計到2027年創作者經濟將成為4800億美元的產業,幾乎是目前2500億美元的兩倍。
創作者經濟不斷發展的同時也在改變社交媒體平臺。創作者常常受科技巨頭的算法支配。算法變化時,社交媒體的性質也會發生變化,迫使在平臺上謀生的人們跟著調整。正如一些科技高管所說,過分追求參與的算法有時會對用戶體驗造成損害。
社交媒體服務正變成“分發平臺,而不是粉絲平臺”,卡萊斯基表示,“各種原創平臺,不管是Twitter(現在改名為X)、Instagram,甚至當年的Facebook通用規則都是,用戶既關注朋友也關注某些創作者,然后在訂閱列表中看關注者發布的內容。信息流里有朋友發的內容,也有創作者發的內容。現在已經完全不同。未來五年將徹底變成完全看不到朋友動態的情況。”
卡萊斯基說,BeReal和Dispo等新出現的社交媒體公司希望將社交媒體扭轉回當初主要在朋友之間交流的樣子。但成功案例很少。除了BeReal和Dispo,卡萊斯基還提到了另一款社交應用Poparazzi,在蘋果應用商店排行榜上躋身前列一兩年后于今年5月關閉。盡管有人在努力復興老派社交媒體,然而用戶扎堆的應用都出自Meta、TikTok和Alphabet等當前科技巨頭,還有Snap和Twitter。
Creator Ventures聯合創始人卡斯帕·李表示,在當前形勢下,TikTok和Alphabet旗下模仿TikTok的YouTube Shorts有望成功。“X機會小一點,因為X平臺上的內容跟品牌關聯比較弱,比較難發展,如果品牌愿意付錢給創作者,讓他們繼續在當前平臺上創作內容,創作者就能活得很好。”李說。
內容創作者和贊助內容的廣告商之所以發現TikTok和YouTube Shorts很有吸引力,主要因為龐大的用戶基數。根據Alphabet的數據,YouTube Shorts每月登錄用戶達20億。截至今年3月,TikTok在美國的月活躍用戶約1.5億。而且一般來說,品牌投放的廣告和贊助內容旁邊不會出現存在爭議或冒犯性的內容,這是一直困擾X的問題。
僅在過去一周,X就流失了一些大廣告商,原因是X的所有者埃隆·馬斯克似乎支持了一個反猶太人的帖子。該事件之后,蘋果、IBM和旗下擁有NBC環球的康卡斯特(Comcast)等大公司都表示將暫停在該平臺投放廣告,X現任首席執行官琳達·雅卡里諾還曾在NBC環球負責全球廣告銷售。在馬斯克的領導下,8月X曾嘗試推出全新的廣告收入分享計劃,對有能力制作熱門內容的創作者提高激勵金額。不過受馬斯克的反猶太主義拖累,相關舉措進展很難衡量。
沒有什么比“人工智能生成的人物更不真實”
意見領袖不僅要跟隨社交媒體平臺的戰略調整,還要應對世界上最受關注的新技術崛起:人工智能。李和卡萊斯基都認為,人工智能在幫助創作者方面將發揮著關鍵作用,并不會完全取代。隨著人工智能發展,將出現新工具幫助創作者制作更多內容,如今已經成為不少初創公司、老公司和投資者的搖錢樹。舉例來說,PitchBook的數據顯示,卡萊斯基的公司Creator Ventures就已投資了估值10億美元的初創公司ElevenLabs,該公司利用人工智能模仿人類的聲音。
還在為YouTube頻道制作內容的李說,最近由于一個短劇中找不到其他人當配角,就嘗試用了ElevenLabs完成。
“通常情況下,如果視頻里需要另一個角色,我會強迫媽媽或者未婚妻幫忙。”李說。“但這次她們都沒空。所以我只好用了ElevenLabs,這樣內容里會出現另一個聲音,沒人知道這是人工智能生成的聲音。”
李補充說,這只是一個視頻里的“隨機角色”,所以“沒什么大不了。”但是,如果使用人工智能生成的聲音變得很普及,創作者和平臺就要明確提示觀眾哪里是人工智能。
最近幾個月,人工智能已經滲透到了創作者經濟的方方面面。類似Meta之類最大的社交媒體公司甚至已經開始試驗純人工智能意見領袖。這一嘗試引發一些父母、藝術家,還有發現自己作品頻繁遭模仿的創作者的質疑。相關創新代表了人工智能新的應用方式,對于不必向實際創作者付費的平臺來說,可能是削減成本的大好機會。但卡萊斯基認為真人意見領袖不太可能被取代。
“人們之所以關注社交媒體創作者,之所以愿意花工夫,部分原因是他們是真實的。”卡萊斯基說。“世界上沒什么比人工智能生成的人物更不真實。因此,人工智能在很多方面都比不上人類。”
不過卡萊斯基也委婉地說,人工智能生成角色可能是不錯的投資。“如果市場規模巨大,對我們來說是好消息,因為在創作者經濟中我們是技術投資者。”他說。“如果人工智能最終超過人類那就更棒了。但我認為不會出現。”(財富中文網)
譯者:夏林
Social media no longer belongs to you, your friends, that random guy from middle school who still lives in your hometown, or your weird cousin you muted but can’t unfollow, because, well, they’re still family. It’s now entirely the domain of influencers and creators who make content for a living.
There’s just no more room for regular people on social media.
“People are posting a lot less on public social media,” Sasha Kaletsky, cofounder and managing partner at Creator Ventures, said Monday at the Fortune Global Forum in Abu Dhabi. “And so your feed is no longer made up of your high school friends or your prom date from seven years ago. Now you’re just seeing people who are professionally entertaining you.”
The creator economy is such a big business that it has turned social media networks from a place of convivial camaraderie to a global distribution platform for the booming content business. By 2027 the creator economy is forecasted to be a $480 billion industry, almost double the sector’s current value of $250 billion, according to a report from Goldman Sachs.
The nature of the evolving creator economy is changing social media platforms as well. Creators have often been at the mercy of the algorithms of Big Tech. When those algorithms change, so does the nature of social media, forcing those who make a living on those platforms to adjust accordingly. Those algorithms, which are meant to drive engagement above all else, can sometimes harm user experiences, as some tech executives have argued.
Social media services are becoming “distribution platforms rather than follower platforms,” Kaletsky says. “All these original platforms, whether it’s Twitter [now known as X], Instagram, even Facebook back in the day, were things where you would follow certain creators alongside your own friends, and watch their content in your feeds. It’d be a friend, and it’d be a creator next to each other. That’s changing completely. In five years, that will have totally changed to the extent that you don’t bother with friends anymore.”
There have been upstart social media companies—BeReal and Dispo, for example—that have tried to revert to the original friend-oriented version of social media, Kaletsky says. But none of them caught on. Poparazzi, another app that Kaletsky cited alongside BeReal and Dispo, shut down in May, just two years after topping the charts of Apple’s App Store. Despite the efforts to revive the old school of social media, today’s engagement-heavy version is dominated by incumbent tech giants like Meta, TikTok, and Alphabet, along with Snap and Twitter.
In the current landscape TikTok and YouTube Shorts, Alphabet’s TikTok copycat, will succeed, according to Caspar Lee, a cofounder at Creator Ventures and an influencer in his own right. “X slightly less so, because it’s hard with the fact that the content that is coming up on there doesn’t work for brands, and creators thrive when brands are happy to pay them to create content on platforms they’re creating content on,” Lee says.
Content creators, and the advertisers that sponsor their content, find TikTok and YouTube Shorts appealing because of their big audiences. YouTube Shorts has 2 billion logged-in monthly users, according to Alphabet, and as of March, TikTok had roughly 150 million monthly active users in the U.S. They also, generally speaking, can reassure brands that their ads and sponsored content won’t appear next to controversial or offensive content, something that X has struggled with.
In the past week alone X suffered an exodus of major advertisers after its owner, Elon Musk, appeared to endorse an anti-Semitic post. Since then, blue-chip companies like Apple, IBM, and Comcast—which owns NBCUniversal where current X CEO Linda Yaccarino previously led global ad sales—all said they would pause advertising on the platform. Under Musk, X has tried to court creators by implementing a new ad revenue sharing program in August meant to increase payments to creators who have popular content. Although the progress of those initiatives has been difficult to gauge, mostly because it’s been overshadowed by Musk’s brushes with anti-Semitism.
There is nothing ‘less authentic than an AI-generated character’
As influencers navigate the shifting strategies of social media platforms, they also have to contend with the rise of the world’s most talked-about new technology: AI. Both Lee and Kaletsky believe it will play a pivotal role in helping creators without replacing them entirely. AI will lead to new tools to help creators produce more content—already a cash cow for startups, established players, and investors alike. Kaletsky’s firm, Creator Ventures, has, for example, invested in ElevenLabs, a startup valued at $1 billion, according to PitchBook, that uses AI to replicate human voices.
Lee, who still makes content for his YouTube channel, said he just recently used ElevenLabs for one of his own videos when he couldn’t find someone to play a supporting role in a skit.
“Usually if I need another character in a video, I’d have to force my mom to be in it or my fiancée,” Lee says. “But this time they weren’t available. So I just used ElevenLabs, and I was able to get a voice to be in the content, and no one knew it was an AI-generated voice.”
Lee adds that this was just a “random character” in one of his videos, so it “didn’t matter so much.” But if using AI-generated voices became the norm, creators and platforms would have to find a way to let viewers know when it was being used.
AI has creeped into all facets of the creator economy in recent months. Some of the biggest social media companies like Meta have even begun experimenting with entirely AI-generated influencers. The effort has raised some eyebrows, from concerned parents and artists and creators who have seen a rise in digital imitations of their work. Those sorts of innovations represent a novel application of AI, and probably an appetizing cost-cutting opportunity for platforms that wouldn’t have to pay a real creator. But Kaletsky thinks they’re unlikely to replace actual influencers.
“The reason people follow social media creators, the reason they bother, is partly because of the authenticity,” Kaletsky says. “There’s nothing in the world that’s less authentic than an AI-generated character. So it sort of defeats the point in many ways.”
But Kaletsky hedged by saying AI-generated characters could make for a good investment. “It’d be very nice for us if that’s going to be huge, because we’re technology investors in the creator economy,” he says. “It’d be wonderful if that takes over. But I don’t think it’s going to.”