今年早些時(shí)候,環(huán)境、社會(huì)與治理(ESG)的未來(lái)前景似乎一片光明。環(huán)境、社會(huì)與治理是一種日益普遍的經(jīng)營(yíng)理念,即在經(jīng)營(yíng)和投資決策中考慮環(huán)境、社會(huì)和治理因素。據(jù)晨星投資實(shí)驗(yàn)室(Morningstar Direct)統(tǒng)計(jì),該領(lǐng)域在2021年經(jīng)歷了創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的一年,全球有6,490億美元注入了專(zhuān)注于ESG投資的基金。
當(dāng)時(shí)有人估計(jì),全球有三分之一的管理資產(chǎn)根據(jù)ESG原則進(jìn)行投資,包括越來(lái)越多大型公共退休基金的資金。面對(duì)氣候變化、不平等擴(kuò)大和其他社會(huì)問(wèn)題,ESG通常被稱(chēng)為是為拯救地球而需要推行的運(yùn)動(dòng)。ESG原則尤其引起了年青一代的共鳴,甚至沃頓(Wharton)等商學(xué)院都推出了專(zhuān)注于ESG的MBA課程。
但如果說(shuō)2021年是ESG取得突破的一年,那么從2022年開(kāi)始,它就進(jìn)入了棘手的“青春期”——在這段混亂時(shí)期,它將受到質(zhì)疑,并最終確定自己的身份。
至少造成身份認(rèn)同危機(jī)的部分原因是市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷(xiāo)問(wèn)題。ESG最初被認(rèn)為是一個(gè)長(zhǎng)期利潤(rùn)最大化策略,其基本理念是冰川融化和被沖突撕裂的地球?qū)ι虡I(yè)不利。最近,ESG被卷入了價(jià)值觀沖突,以及美國(guó)的文化戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。
從根本上來(lái)說(shuō),ESG戰(zhàn)略是評(píng)估外部因素對(duì)一家公司的影響(沿海洪災(zāi)會(huì)對(duì)我的工廠造成哪些影響?更多樣化的團(tuán)隊(duì)會(huì)如何影響績(jī)效?),而不是公司對(duì)世界的影響(我的工廠可能對(duì)地球產(chǎn)生哪些影響?多樣化招聘如何解決不平等問(wèn)題?)。
當(dāng)利潤(rùn)導(dǎo)向的商人談?wù)揈SG時(shí),他們通常關(guān)注的是第一點(diǎn)。但我們很容易模糊兩者之間的界限,而且許多市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷(xiāo)就是如此。ESG與利益相關(guān)者資本主義或者“影響力”投資等其他商業(yè)運(yùn)動(dòng)一樣,都被貼上了“善有善報(bào)”的標(biāo)簽。這導(dǎo)致一個(gè)人根據(jù)自己的社會(huì)價(jià)值觀(例如保護(hù)環(huán)境)進(jìn)行投資的行為和ESG被混為一談,而后者應(yīng)該基于商業(yè)理由。
不出意外,一些領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人和右翼政客將ESG變成了一個(gè)貶義詞,將這種模糊的策略稱(chēng)為“覺(jué)醒資本主義”,被信仰自由主義的金融機(jī)構(gòu)用來(lái)欺騙美國(guó)投資者,以發(fā)展進(jìn)步事業(yè)。前生物科技創(chuàng)業(yè)者維韋克·拉瑪斯瓦米成為反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)的典型。他成立了兩只投資基金,包括一只能源交易所交易基金(ETF),該基金旨在反對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展和多樣化倡議,并選擇了一個(gè)具有諷刺性的交易代碼DRLL。美國(guó)前副總統(tǒng)邁科·彭斯、佛羅里達(dá)州州長(zhǎng)羅恩·德桑蒂斯和福克斯(Fox)的主持人塔克·卡爾森等人的言論,提高了ESG的知名度,并使與ESG有關(guān)的討論變得更令人困惑,并充滿了虛假信息。(卡爾森甚至將斯里蘭卡經(jīng)濟(jì)的崩潰歸咎于ESG。)
對(duì)于認(rèn)真對(duì)待ESG原則的商界人物來(lái)說(shuō),這些都是令人沮喪的小問(wèn)題而已。他們發(fā)現(xiàn)當(dāng)前的狀況存在許多問(wèn)題,但他們也看到了一個(gè)值得改進(jìn)的框架。沃頓商學(xué)院的教授及副院長(zhǎng)維托爾德·赫尼什曾經(jīng)擔(dān)任該學(xué)院ESG倡議的學(xué)術(shù)主任。他說(shuō):“我認(rèn)為在ESG方面還有很多工作要做。”
其中包括解決ESG領(lǐng)域經(jīng)常被夸大的有關(guān)投資回報(bào)的說(shuō)法,以及統(tǒng)一普遍不一致且不透明的評(píng)級(jí)系統(tǒng)。這些系統(tǒng)同時(shí)對(duì)公司的環(huán)境、社會(huì)和治理因素進(jìn)行評(píng)分,往往會(huì)造成困擾。毫無(wú)疑問(wèn),特斯拉(Tesla)的電動(dòng)汽車(chē)對(duì)于應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化做出了重要貢獻(xiàn),但該公司由于涉及種族歧視的言論以及其他問(wèn)題,卻公然被一個(gè)ESG指數(shù)除名,導(dǎo)致埃隆·馬斯克表態(tài)稱(chēng)整個(gè)ESG領(lǐng)域都是“詐騙”。
正如赫尼什所說(shuō),反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)是一場(chǎng)協(xié)調(diào)行動(dòng),背后是支持化石能源的美國(guó)立法交流委員會(huì)(American Legislative Exchange Council)等組織,自2021年年初以來(lái),至少有17個(gè)州提出了“反ESG”法案,至少5個(gè)州頒布了反ESG法律。這些動(dòng)作的目的通常是禁止在公共退休基金投資中使用ESG因素,比如佛羅里達(dá)州最近使用1,860億美元的州資金所做的投資,另一方面是為了對(duì)通過(guò)ESG政策歧視某些行業(yè)的投資者進(jìn)行處罰。
得克薩斯州在2021年9月開(kāi)始執(zhí)行一項(xiàng)類(lèi)似法律,禁止市政府與限制向石油天然氣或軍火公司提供資金的銀行開(kāi)展實(shí)質(zhì)性業(yè)務(wù)。結(jié)果導(dǎo)致花旗集團(tuán)(Citigroup)、摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)和高盛集團(tuán)(Goldman Sachs)等五家大銀行離開(kāi)了得克薩斯州的市政債券市場(chǎng)。據(jù)沃頓商學(xué)院的丹尼爾·加勒特和美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)的伊凡·伊萬(wàn)諾夫分析發(fā)現(xiàn),這些銀行承銷(xiāo)了當(dāng)?shù)貍袌?chǎng)35%的債務(wù),它們的離開(kāi)大幅降低了該市場(chǎng)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。他們發(fā)現(xiàn),這項(xiàng)政策將讓得克薩斯州的居民付出代價(jià)。在法律實(shí)施的前八個(gè)月,該州將為其320億美元貸款,額外支付約3.03億美元至5.32億美元利息。
更不確定的一點(diǎn)是,如果其他州紛紛效仿得克薩斯州,是否會(huì)讓銀行改變立場(chǎng)。許多號(hào)稱(chēng)擁有ESG證書(shū)的銀行現(xiàn)在的處境就像是在尷尬地跳踢踏舞,他們根據(jù)紅州官員的要求增加石油天然氣投資。這反過(guò)來(lái)為激進(jìn)的批評(píng)者遞上了把柄。他們認(rèn)為ESG就是漂綠行為。
到目前為止,反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)是主要發(fā)生在美國(guó)的一種現(xiàn)象,這種勢(shì)頭的出現(xiàn)恰好是在美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)提出要求公司和基金披露氣候和ESG相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)的兩項(xiàng)提案前后。對(duì)于其他國(guó)家的人來(lái)說(shuō),這種政治化是一個(gè)令人費(fèi)解的現(xiàn)象。晨星投資管理研究總監(jiān)、位于倫敦的林賽·斯圖爾特表示:“在投資時(shí)進(jìn)行ESG分析只是一種投資行為。”斯圖爾特補(bǔ)充說(shuō),只要投資者承認(rèn)氣候風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是真實(shí)存在的,“無(wú)論他們是否認(rèn)為自己具有社會(huì)和環(huán)境意識(shí),這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)都是實(shí)實(shí)在在的。”
ESG的成長(zhǎng)痛還趕上了另外一場(chǎng)考驗(yàn),那就是俄烏沖突。這場(chǎng)戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)導(dǎo)致可持續(xù)基金的績(jī)效不盡如人意。ESG指數(shù)中科技股比重較大,石油、天然氣和國(guó)防股占比較小,今年到目前為止,ESG指數(shù)下跌了24.2%,而大盤(pán)下跌了21.6%。今年第二季度,美國(guó)可持續(xù)基金在五年來(lái)首次出現(xiàn)了資金外流,盡管?chē)?yán)重程度低于非ESG基金。
這種黏性意味著堅(jiān)持ESG原則的投資者并沒(méi)有放棄。而且公司面臨的實(shí)際風(fēng)險(xiǎn)也沒(méi)有減少,今年災(zāi)難性的氣候事件就是很好的證明,例如歐洲的極端高溫、巴基斯坦的嚴(yán)重洪災(zāi)、中國(guó)前所未有的干旱等。再保險(xiǎn)商瑞士再保險(xiǎn)公司(Swiss Re)曾經(jīng)估計(jì),到2050年,氣候變化將導(dǎo)致全球經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出損失23萬(wàn)億美元。對(duì)許多高管而言,預(yù)測(cè)這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)并不是為了取悅“覺(jué)醒的”投資者,而是為了保護(hù)公司的利潤(rùn)。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
本文另一版本登載于《財(cái)富》雜志2022年10/11月刊,標(biāo)題為《“覺(jué)醒投資”并沒(méi)有消失》(“Woke investing’ isn’t going away”)。
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
今年早些時(shí)候,環(huán)境、社會(huì)與治理(ESG)的未來(lái)前景似乎一片光明。環(huán)境、社會(huì)與治理是一種日益普遍的經(jīng)營(yíng)理念,即在經(jīng)營(yíng)和投資決策中考慮環(huán)境、社會(huì)和治理因素。據(jù)晨星投資實(shí)驗(yàn)室(Morningstar Direct)統(tǒng)計(jì),該領(lǐng)域在2021年經(jīng)歷了創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的一年,全球有6,490億美元注入了專(zhuān)注于ESG投資的基金。
當(dāng)時(shí)有人估計(jì),全球有三分之一的管理資產(chǎn)根據(jù)ESG原則進(jìn)行投資,包括越來(lái)越多大型公共退休基金的資金。面對(duì)氣候變化、不平等擴(kuò)大和其他社會(huì)問(wèn)題,ESG通常被稱(chēng)為是為拯救地球而需要推行的運(yùn)動(dòng)。ESG原則尤其引起了年青一代的共鳴,甚至沃頓(Wharton)等商學(xué)院都推出了專(zhuān)注于ESG的MBA課程。
但如果說(shuō)2021年是ESG取得突破的一年,那么從2022年開(kāi)始,它就進(jìn)入了棘手的“青春期”——在這段混亂時(shí)期,它將受到質(zhì)疑,并最終確定自己的身份。
至少造成身份認(rèn)同危機(jī)的部分原因是市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷(xiāo)問(wèn)題。ESG最初被認(rèn)為是一個(gè)長(zhǎng)期利潤(rùn)最大化策略,其基本理念是冰川融化和被沖突撕裂的地球?qū)ι虡I(yè)不利。最近,ESG被卷入了價(jià)值觀沖突,以及美國(guó)的文化戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。
從根本上來(lái)說(shuō),ESG戰(zhàn)略是評(píng)估外部因素對(duì)一家公司的影響(沿海洪災(zāi)會(huì)對(duì)我的工廠造成哪些影響?更多樣化的團(tuán)隊(duì)會(huì)如何影響績(jī)效?),而不是公司對(duì)世界的影響(我的工廠可能對(duì)地球產(chǎn)生哪些影響?多樣化招聘如何解決不平等問(wèn)題?)。
當(dāng)利潤(rùn)導(dǎo)向的商人談?wù)揈SG時(shí),他們通常關(guān)注的是第一點(diǎn)。但我們很容易模糊兩者之間的界限,而且許多市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷(xiāo)就是如此。ESG與利益相關(guān)者資本主義或者“影響力”投資等其他商業(yè)運(yùn)動(dòng)一樣,都被貼上了“善有善報(bào)”的標(biāo)簽。這導(dǎo)致一個(gè)人根據(jù)自己的社會(huì)價(jià)值觀(例如保護(hù)環(huán)境)進(jìn)行投資的行為和ESG被混為一談,而后者應(yīng)該基于商業(yè)理由。
不出意外,一些領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人和右翼政客將ESG變成了一個(gè)貶義詞,將這種模糊的策略稱(chēng)為“覺(jué)醒資本主義”,被信仰自由主義的金融機(jī)構(gòu)用來(lái)欺騙美國(guó)投資者,以發(fā)展進(jìn)步事業(yè)。前生物科技創(chuàng)業(yè)者維韋克·拉瑪斯瓦米成為反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)的典型。他成立了兩只投資基金,包括一只能源交易所交易基金(ETF),該基金旨在反對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展和多樣化倡議,并選擇了一個(gè)具有諷刺性的交易代碼DRLL。美國(guó)前副總統(tǒng)邁科·彭斯、佛羅里達(dá)州州長(zhǎng)羅恩·德桑蒂斯和福克斯(Fox)的主持人塔克·卡爾森等人的言論,提高了ESG的知名度,并使與ESG有關(guān)的討論變得更令人困惑,并充滿了虛假信息。(卡爾森甚至將斯里蘭卡經(jīng)濟(jì)的崩潰歸咎于ESG。)
對(duì)于認(rèn)真對(duì)待ESG原則的商界人物來(lái)說(shuō),這些都是令人沮喪的小問(wèn)題而已。他們發(fā)現(xiàn)當(dāng)前的狀況存在許多問(wèn)題,但他們也看到了一個(gè)值得改進(jìn)的框架。沃頓商學(xué)院的教授及副院長(zhǎng)維托爾德·赫尼什曾經(jīng)擔(dān)任該學(xué)院ESG倡議的學(xué)術(shù)主任。他說(shuō):“我認(rèn)為在ESG方面還有很多工作要做。”
其中包括解決ESG領(lǐng)域經(jīng)常被夸大的有關(guān)投資回報(bào)的說(shuō)法,以及統(tǒng)一普遍不一致且不透明的評(píng)級(jí)系統(tǒng)。這些系統(tǒng)同時(shí)對(duì)公司的環(huán)境、社會(huì)和治理因素進(jìn)行評(píng)分,往往會(huì)造成困擾。毫無(wú)疑問(wèn),特斯拉(Tesla)的電動(dòng)汽車(chē)對(duì)于應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化做出了重要貢獻(xiàn),但該公司由于涉及種族歧視的言論以及其他問(wèn)題,卻公然被一個(gè)ESG指數(shù)除名,導(dǎo)致埃隆·馬斯克表態(tài)稱(chēng)整個(gè)ESG領(lǐng)域都是“詐騙”。
正如赫尼什所說(shuō),反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)是一場(chǎng)協(xié)調(diào)行動(dòng),背后是支持化石能源的美國(guó)立法交流委員會(huì)(American Legislative Exchange Council)等組織,自2021年年初以來(lái),至少有17個(gè)州提出了“反ESG”法案,至少5個(gè)州頒布了反ESG法律。這些動(dòng)作的目的通常是禁止在公共退休基金投資中使用ESG因素,比如佛羅里達(dá)州最近使用1,860億美元的州資金所做的投資,另一方面是為了對(duì)通過(guò)ESG政策歧視某些行業(yè)的投資者進(jìn)行處罰。
得克薩斯州在2021年9月開(kāi)始執(zhí)行一項(xiàng)類(lèi)似法律,禁止市政府與限制向石油天然氣或軍火公司提供資金的銀行開(kāi)展實(shí)質(zhì)性業(yè)務(wù)。結(jié)果導(dǎo)致花旗集團(tuán)(Citigroup)、摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)和高盛集團(tuán)(Goldman Sachs)等五家大銀行離開(kāi)了得克薩斯州的市政債券市場(chǎng)。據(jù)沃頓商學(xué)院的丹尼爾·加勒特和美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)的伊凡·伊萬(wàn)諾夫分析發(fā)現(xiàn),這些銀行承銷(xiāo)了當(dāng)?shù)貍袌?chǎng)35%的債務(wù),它們的離開(kāi)大幅降低了該市場(chǎng)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。他們發(fā)現(xiàn),這項(xiàng)政策將讓得克薩斯州的居民付出代價(jià)。在法律實(shí)施的前八個(gè)月,該州將為其320億美元貸款,額外支付約3.03億美元至5.32億美元利息。
更不確定的一點(diǎn)是,如果其他州紛紛效仿得克薩斯州,是否會(huì)讓銀行改變立場(chǎng)。許多號(hào)稱(chēng)擁有ESG證書(shū)的銀行現(xiàn)在的處境就像是在尷尬地跳踢踏舞,他們根據(jù)紅州官員的要求增加石油天然氣投資。這反過(guò)來(lái)為激進(jìn)的批評(píng)者遞上了把柄。他們認(rèn)為ESG就是漂綠行為。
到目前為止,反ESG運(yùn)動(dòng)是主要發(fā)生在美國(guó)的一種現(xiàn)象,這種勢(shì)頭的出現(xiàn)恰好是在美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)提出要求公司和基金披露氣候和ESG相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)的兩項(xiàng)提案前后。對(duì)于其他國(guó)家的人來(lái)說(shuō),這種政治化是一個(gè)令人費(fèi)解的現(xiàn)象。晨星投資管理研究總監(jiān)、位于倫敦的林賽·斯圖爾特表示:“在投資時(shí)進(jìn)行ESG分析只是一種投資行為。”斯圖爾特補(bǔ)充說(shuō),只要投資者承認(rèn)氣候風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是真實(shí)存在的,“無(wú)論他們是否認(rèn)為自己具有社會(huì)和環(huán)境意識(shí),這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)都是實(shí)實(shí)在在的。”
ESG的成長(zhǎng)痛還趕上了另外一場(chǎng)考驗(yàn),那就是俄烏沖突。這場(chǎng)戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)導(dǎo)致可持續(xù)基金的績(jī)效不盡如人意。ESG指數(shù)中科技股比重較大,石油、天然氣和國(guó)防股占比較小,今年到目前為止,ESG指數(shù)下跌了24.2%,而大盤(pán)下跌了21.6%。今年第二季度,美國(guó)可持續(xù)基金在五年來(lái)首次出現(xiàn)了資金外流,盡管?chē)?yán)重程度低于非ESG基金。
這種黏性意味著堅(jiān)持ESG原則的投資者并沒(méi)有放棄。而且公司面臨的實(shí)際風(fēng)險(xiǎn)也沒(méi)有減少,今年災(zāi)難性的氣候事件就是很好的證明,例如歐洲的極端高溫、巴基斯坦的嚴(yán)重洪災(zāi)、中國(guó)前所未有的干旱等。再保險(xiǎn)商瑞士再保險(xiǎn)公司(Swiss Re)曾經(jīng)估計(jì),到2050年,氣候變化將導(dǎo)致全球經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出損失23萬(wàn)億美元。對(duì)許多高管而言,預(yù)測(cè)這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)并不是為了取悅“覺(jué)醒的”投資者,而是為了保護(hù)公司的利潤(rùn)。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
本文另一版本登載于《財(cái)富》雜志2022年10/11月刊,標(biāo)題為《“覺(jué)醒投資”并沒(méi)有消失》(“Woke investing’ isn’t going away”)。
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
Earlier this year, the future looked as if it could only get brighter for ESG, the increasingly widespread practice of considering environmental, social, and governance factors in business and investment decisions. In investing, the field was coming off a record-smashing 2021, with $649 billion flowing into ESG-focused funds globally, according to Morningstar Direct.
By one estimate at the time, a third of the world’s assets under management, including the money of growing numbers of huge public pension funds, were invested according to ESG principles. Often branded as the movement the planet needs at a time of climate change, widening inequality, and other social problems, ESG has resonated especially with younger generations—so much so that business schools, including Wharton, have launched ESG-focused MBAs.
But if 2021 was ESG’s breakout year, 2022 has marked the start of its awkward adolescence—a messy period of confronting critics and figuring itself out.
At least part of that identity crisis is a marketing problem. Originally conceived as a longer-term profit maximization strategy, based around the idea that a melting, conflict-riven planet is bad for business, ESG has recently gotten sucked into conflicts over values—and thus, into America’s culture wars.
ESG strategy is fundamentally about assessing how external factors could impact a business (How might coastal flooding affect my factory? How would a more diverse team affect performance?), rather than the business’s impact on the wider world (How might my factory be polluting the planet? How might diverse hiring address inequalities?).
When bottom-line-oriented businesspeople talk about ESG, they’re often focusing on the first point. But it’s easy to blur the line between the two, and many marketing efforts do. ESG gets labeled with the “Do well by doing good” branding attached to other business movements like stakeholder capitalism or “impact” investing. And that has created a muddy picture in which aligning investments with one’s social values (like protecting the environment) gets mixed up with ESG, which is supposed to be based on a business case.
No surprise, then, that some luminaries and politicians on the right have turned ESG into a pejorative, characterizing the fuzzy strategy as “woke capitalism,” an effort by liberal financial institutions to cheat American investors in the interest of advancing progressive causes. Vivek Ramaswamy, a former biotech entrepreneur, has become the anti-ESG movement’s poster child, launching a couple of investment funds, including an energy ETF with the trollish ticker DRLL, to fight sustainability and diversity initiatives. The messaging, picked up by former Vice President Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and Fox pundit Tucker Carlson, among others, has both raised ESG’s profile and made the conversation even more confused and misinformed. (Carlson went so far as to pin the collapse of the Sri Lankan economy on ESG.)
To people in the business community who take ESG’s principles seriously, this is all a frustrating sideshow. They see plenty of problems with the current state of affairs, but they also see a framework worth improving on. “The way I look at it is, we’ve got lots of work to do,” says Witold Henisz, a professor and vice dean at Wharton who serves as faculty director of the school’s ESG initiative.
That work includes tackling the ESG field’s often overstated claims about its return on investment, as well as taming its wildly inconsistent and opaque ratings systems, which often cause confusion by scoring companies on E, S, and G simultaneously. Tesla, whose electric cars’ contribution to the fight against climate change is undeniably vital, famously got dropped from an ESG index owing to claims of racial discrimination and other problems at the company, leading Elon Musk to pronounce the whole field “a scam.”
As Henisz notes, much of the anti-ESG movement is a coordinated campaign, backed by organizations like the fossil-fuel-friendly American Legislative Exchange Council, with “anti-ESG” bills introduced in at least 17 states and enacted in at least five since early 2021. Such efforts generally aim to bar the use of ESG factors in the investment of public pension funds—as Florida recently did with its $186 billion state fund—or to punish investors perceived as discriminating against certain industries via ESG policies.
Texas implemented such legislation in September 2021, forbidding municipalities from doing substantial business with banks that restricted funding to oil and gas or firearms companies. On those grounds, five large banks—including Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs—left the state’s municipal bond market. Together, they had underwritten 35% of that debt, and their departure made the market far less competitive, according to an analysis by Daniel Garrett of Wharton and Ivan Ivanov of the Federal Reserve. They found that the policy will cost Texans, who will pay an estimated $303 million to $532 million more in interest on the $32 billion borrowed during the first eight months of the laws’ implementation.
What’s less clear is whether the tradeoffs will change for banks if many other states follow Texas’s lead. Already, many banks that boast of their ESG credentials are engaged in an awkward tap dance, playing up their oil and gas holdings in correspondence with red-state officials. That in turn provides fodder for progressive critics who believe ESG amounts to greenwashing.
The ESG backlash is so far a largely American phenomenon, timed in part around two SEC proposals that would require companies and funds to disclose climate- and ESG-related data. For those watching from outside the U.S., the politicization is perplexing. “ESG analysis in investing at this point is just investing,” says London-based Lindsey Stewart, director of investment stewardship research at Morningstar. Once investors acknowledge that climate risks are real, Stewart adds, “whether they consider themselves to be socially and environmentally conscious or not, those risks are there.”
ESG’s growing pains coincide with another test, the war in Ukraine, which has turned sustainable funds into underperformers. Heavy on tech, and light on oil, gas, and defense stocks, ESG indexes are down 24.2% year to date, versus a 21.6% decline for the broader market. For the first time in five years, U.S. sustainable funds recorded outflows in the second quarter—though not to degree that money is flowing out of non-ESG funds.
That stickiness suggests that ESG-committed investors aren’t going away. Nor, as made clear by another year of catastrophic climate events—extreme heat in Europe, disastrous flooding in Pakistan, unprecedented drought in China—are the very real risks that businesses face. Reinsurer Swiss Re has estimated that climate change could put a dent of up to $23 trillion in the globe’s economic output by 2050. For many executives, anticipating those risks isn’t about pleasing “woke” investors: It’s about protecting the bottom line.
This article appears in the October/November 2022 issue of Fortune with the headline, “Woke investing’ isn’t going away.”