至2050年在全球范圍內實現凈零碳排放目標,需要綠色技術進步的推動,尤其是可再生能源技術,但解決氣候變化問題決不能坐等新技術出現。
“我想強調的是,我們不應該一味地等待技術創新和成熟。事實上,我們已經有很多成熟的技術,應該立即投入應用,”歐洲政策中心歐洲可持續發展項目負責人安妮卡·赫德伯格表示。
在4月8日《財富》雜志舉辦的虛擬論壇上,赫德伯格談到了數字解決方案可能對發電、電力存儲和分配方式帶來的改變。近幾十年來,全球電力消費增長穩定,但城市化、企業數字化、電力汽車和其他公用事業的蓬勃發展將帶來新一輪的電力需求激增。
據麥肯錫預測,到2050年,電力占全球能源消耗的比重將從現在的19%增加至30%。與此同時,國際能源署預計,由于可再生能源發電成本遠低于化石燃料,未來十年內,全球80%的電力將由可再生能源產生。
但就可持續性而言,使用可再生能源和電力也要面對一系列挑戰。
英國伯明翰大學法學教授羅伯特·李在談到鋰這一類電池原料時說:“簡單地用金屬經濟取代碳氫經濟是非常危險的。”金屬開采過程本身會產生大量污染,而廢棄電池的妥善處理則是另一大迫在眉睫的難題。
歐盟已做好了處理廢棄電池的準備,并于去年通過立法,要求電池制造商為每一塊電池貼上唯一的數字“護照”標簽,以便在整個產品生命周期內進行跟蹤。李教授認為,護照計劃是數字技術解決方案的契機。
“區塊鏈技術允許你完整地跟蹤產品,以確保廢棄產品不會被運往一些發展中國家進行拆解,給當地造成巨大的環境和健康危害,”李教授說。
氣候保護人士則對區塊鏈技術,或者更準確地說,對加密貨幣挖礦嗤之以鼻,因為給區塊鏈數據中心供電、維持其運轉產生了污染。不過,華為技術有限公司公共事務戰略副總裁勒內·阿諾德表示,數字化轉型帶來的整體益處將超過其所需的能源成本。
“信息通信技術和數字化的確比較特殊,在這一領域里,它所產生的間接減排效應實際上遠大于直接意義上的單個能源影響,”阿諾德解釋,這就意味著通過引入數字技術、提高效率而節省的能源可以抵消數字化消耗的能量。
能源供應商利用遠程傳感器和人工智能監測技術,監控電力需求,有效分配電力,即可實現這種“抵消效應”。
“如果我們能充分發掘信息通信技術的潛力,[數字化]將對環境產生積極影響,并幫助我們實現預定的氣候目標,”阿諾德說。(財富中文網)
譯者:胡萌琦
至2050年在全球范圍內實現凈零碳排放目標,需要綠色技術進步的推動,尤其是可再生能源技術,但解決氣候變化問題決不能坐等新技術出現。
“我想強調的是,我們不應該一味地等待技術創新和成熟。事實上,我們已經有很多成熟的技術,應該立即投入應用,”歐洲政策中心歐洲可持續發展項目負責人安妮卡·赫德伯格表示。
在4月8日《財富》雜志舉辦的虛擬論壇上,赫德伯格談到了數字解決方案可能對發電、電力存儲和分配方式帶來的改變。近幾十年來,全球電力消費增長穩定,但城市化、企業數字化、電力汽車和其他公用事業的蓬勃發展將帶來新一輪的電力需求激增。
據麥肯錫預測,到2050年,電力占全球能源消耗的比重將從現在的19%增加至30%。與此同時,國際能源署預計,由于可再生能源發電成本遠低于化石燃料,未來十年內,全球80%的電力將由可再生能源產生。
但就可持續性而言,使用可再生能源和電力也要面對一系列挑戰。
英國伯明翰大學法學教授羅伯特·李在談到鋰這一類電池原料時說:“簡單地用金屬經濟取代碳氫經濟是非常危險的。”金屬開采過程本身會產生大量污染,而廢棄電池的妥善處理則是另一大迫在眉睫的難題。
歐盟已做好了處理廢棄電池的準備,并于去年通過立法,要求電池制造商為每一塊電池貼上唯一的數字“護照”標簽,以便在整個產品生命周期內進行跟蹤。李教授認為,護照計劃是數字技術解決方案的契機。
“區塊鏈技術允許你完整地跟蹤產品,以確保廢棄產品不會被運往一些發展中國家進行拆解,給當地造成巨大的環境和健康危害,”李教授說。
氣候保護人士則對區塊鏈技術,或者更準確地說,對加密貨幣挖礦嗤之以鼻,因為給區塊鏈數據中心供電、維持其運轉產生了污染。不過,華為技術有限公司公共事務戰略副總裁勒內·阿諾德表示,數字化轉型帶來的整體益處將超過其所需的能源成本。
“信息通信技術和數字化的確比較特殊,在這一領域里,它所產生的間接減排效應實際上遠大于直接意義上的單個能源影響,”阿諾德解釋,這就意味著通過引入數字技術、提高效率而節省的能源可以抵消數字化消耗的能量。
能源供應商利用遠程傳感器和人工智能監測技術,監控電力需求,有效分配電力,即可實現這種“抵消效應”。
“如果我們能充分發掘信息通信技術的潛力,[數字化]將對環境產生積極影響,并幫助我們實現預定的氣候目標,”阿諾德說。(財富中文網)
譯者:胡萌琦
The worldwide push to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 will require advances in green technologies—particularly tech associated with renewable energy—but simply waiting for future tools to emerge isn’t a viable solution to climate change.
“I would like to argue that we should not just wait for these innovations and technologies to mature. We actually have a lot of already mature technology that we should be putting in place and deploying at the moment,” Annika Hedberg, head of sustainable prosperity for Europe programme at the European Policy Centre (EPC), said Thursday.
Hedberg was speaking during Fortune’s virtual conversation on how digital solutions can transform the way we generate, store, and distribute electricity. Global electricity consumption has grown steadily for decades, but the rise in urbanization, corporate digitalization, and the electrification of cars and other utilities will create a new surge in demand for electricity.
According to McKinsey, electricity will occupy 30% of the global demand for power by 2050—up from 19% today. Meanwhile the International Energy Agency (IEA) expects renewables to generate 80% of global electricity demand within the next decade, as the cost of renewable generation plummets below the cost of fossil fuels.
But in terms of sustainability, switching to renewable energy and electricity carries its own challenges.
“Clearly, there's a great danger that we simply replace a hydrocarbon-based economy…with a metal economy,” says Robert Lee, professor of law at the University of Birmingham in the U.K., referring to the metals that are required to make batteries, such as lithium. Mining those metals is a polluting process itself, and properly disposing of batteries at the end of their shelf life is a looming issue.
The European Union has already prepared to deal with the deluge of dead batteries and last year passed legislation requiring battery manufacturers to stamp each battery unit with a unique digital “passport” tag that allows the battery to be tracked throughout its lifetime. Lee sees the passport scheme as an opportunity for digital tech to provide a solution.
“Something like blockchain actually allows you to do that almost absolutely and track that product to make sure that product isn't ending up being broken down in some countries in the developing world where it's doing huge environmental and health damage,” Lee says.
Climate activists have scorned blockchain technology—or, specifically, cryptocurrency mining—for the pollution produced in order to power the data centers that sustain the blockchain. But René Arnold, vice president of public affairs strategy at Huawei Technologies, says that the overall benefits of digitalization will outweigh the cost of its energy demands.
“Information communication technology (ICT) and digitization is really one of the very few examples where you can see that the indirect abatement effect is actually far bigger than its individual energy impact is in a direct sense,” Arnold says, meaning that the energy saved by efficiencies introduced through digitalizing will offset the energy consumed by digitalization.
Such “abatement effects” would come from actions like energy suppliers utilizing remote sensors and A.I. oversight to monitor power demand and distribute electricity efficiently.
"If we use the potential that ICT provides us [then digitalization] will have a positive impact on the environment and help us achieve the climate targets we have set," Arnold says.