預測商業風險的藝術:為什么“非專家”做的更好
????這些事例體現了專業化的一大缺陷。我并不是說專業化本身有問題。在許多工作和領域中(外科、科學研究等),專業化是成功的關鍵。但在應對不確定性和預測可能出現的情況方面,我更愿意讓多面手來負責——這類人的經驗多種多樣,足以緩解上文中提到的“自認為手拿錘子”所引發的問題。 ????對企業中各個層次的管理者來說,以上事例的一個明確含義就是要尊重和珍視那些看似不相關的經驗。不要把應聘財務職位的營銷事務管理人員拒之門外,也不要認為零售公司負責人不能經營建筑公司。培養未來負責人時,現任領導應當鼓勵他們擁有多種多樣的經驗,而不是局限于某個專業領域。 ????本文作者維克拉姆?曼沙拉馬尼博士在耶魯大學(Yale University)教授倫理、政治和經濟課,他是哈佛大學肯尼迪政府學院(Harvard Kennedy School)穆薩瓦-拉赫瑪尼(Mossavar-Rahmani)商業與政府中心高級研究員,著有《盛衰學:在金融泡沫破裂前發現它們》(Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst)一書。(財富中文網) ????譯者:Charlie |
????These stories illustrate a major downside of specialization. I don’t mean to suggest that specialization unto itself is bad; in many functions and domains (surgery, scientific research, etc …), it is essential to success. But when it comes to navigating uncertainty and contemplating probabilistic scenarios, I’d rather have a generalist in charge—someone who has a breadth of experience diverse enough to mitigate the problematic hammer-carrying default setting. ????One obvious implication for managers at all levels of an organization is to respect and value seemingly unrelated experiences. Don’t dismiss the marketing executive applying for a finance position or the retail leader who thinks she can run a construction firm. And in grooming future leaders, current leaders should encourage a diversity of experience rather than narrow specialization. ????Vikram Mansharamani, PhD, is a lecturer at Yale University in the Program on Ethics, Politics, & Economics, a Senior Fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business & Government at the Harvard Kennedy School, and the author of Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst. |