世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇(World Economic Forum)在2020年12月中旬發(fā)布的一項(xiàng)企業(yè)高管調(diào)查顯示,從日益激烈的競爭到治理動態(tài)以及技術(shù)問題,商界領(lǐng)袖對諸多領(lǐng)域的擔(dān)憂正在加劇。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇的《全球競爭力報告》(Global Competitiveness Report)共采訪了來自126個國家的11,866位商業(yè)領(lǐng)袖。
高管們最擔(dān)心的兩個熱點(diǎn)問題是:一、網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)領(lǐng)域的競爭狀況;二、世界不同地區(qū)在信息通信技術(shù)采用方面日益擴(kuò)大的差距。隨著公司被迫調(diào)整工作模式,員工也不得不在廚房和客廳里工作,因此網(wǎng)絡(luò)提供商的實(shí)力成倍增長。這種趨勢未來可能會帶來企業(yè)合并或者權(quán)力轉(zhuǎn)移。
報告稱:“將2020年商界領(lǐng)袖的觀點(diǎn)與他們在之前三年的觀點(diǎn)進(jìn)行對比后發(fā)現(xiàn),自新冠疫情爆發(fā)以來,發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的服務(wù)(網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)、專業(yè)服務(wù)和零售服務(wù))競爭明顯減少,潛在的原因是自疫情爆發(fā)以來對平臺的過度依賴,進(jìn)一步刺激了這些國家業(yè)已增長的‘贏者通吃’的經(jīng)濟(jì)。”
商業(yè)專家表示,網(wǎng)絡(luò)提供商的市場未來可能會出現(xiàn)某種形式的萎縮。這當(dāng)中自然存在一些危險,但要防止這些危險的發(fā)生,還有一個權(quán)宜措施,那就是發(fā)揮美國聯(lián)邦貿(mào)易委員會(Federal Trade Commission)的作用。
埃默里大學(xué)(Emory University)戈伊祖塔商學(xué)院(Goizueta Business School)的副院長拉姆納特?切拉帕說:“在科技行業(yè),企業(yè)的合并是不可避免的,無論是通過創(chuàng)新、收購還是兼并等形式。在科技行業(yè)有一種現(xiàn)象名為網(wǎng)絡(luò)效應(yīng),使企業(yè)合并能夠帶來巨大的好處,即合并后的整體效益大于各部分之[和]。然后正如我們所看到的那樣,壟斷行為構(gòu)成了巨大威脅,所以政府開始介入。”
一段時間以來,全球的數(shù)字化產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)歷了爆炸式增長,但它在疫情期間迎來了更快的發(fā)展速度。自2010年以來,全球互聯(lián)網(wǎng)用戶翻了一番,現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)超過了全球人口的50%;并且所有商業(yè)部門都采用了數(shù)字技術(shù)。
在2020年數(shù)字化的飛速增長中,受益最大的是電商行業(yè)。從2019年7月至2020年7月,電子商務(wù)增長了24%,亞馬遜(Amazon)、沃爾瑪(Walmart)等大型在線零售商的客戶數(shù)量激增。相比之下,電子商務(wù)從2010年到2019年的平均年增長率只有10%。
與此同時,在線學(xué)習(xí)、視頻會議和在線娛樂也迎來了大幅增長。
然而這些數(shù)字技術(shù)的快速應(yīng)用,卻導(dǎo)致疫情之前已經(jīng)存在的數(shù)字鴻溝進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。企業(yè)高管們表示,他們預(yù)計明年“無論是各國之間和國家內(nèi)部,還是不同行業(yè)或公司之間及其內(nèi)部的”數(shù)字鴻溝還將進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。
在網(wǎng)絡(luò)不夠普及的地區(qū),創(chuàng)業(yè)文化尤其可以感受到這種差異所帶來的影響。但這并不意味著硅谷將迎來新的黃金時代。報告指出,雖然過去一年創(chuàng)業(yè)文化有顯著增長,但突破性技術(shù)的研發(fā)卻出現(xiàn)了停滯。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇表示,初創(chuàng)公司未能提供能源消耗或排放等問題的解決方案,也沒有滿足對包容性社會服務(wù)的需求。
為了滿足這些需求,政府需要增加對研發(fā)的公共投資,并激勵私營部門的風(fēng)險資本一起支持研發(fā)。報告還建議制定激勵措施,鼓勵對研究、創(chuàng)新、發(fā)明和多元化與包容性等方面的投資,以創(chuàng)造“未來市場”,包括教育科技、數(shù)據(jù)和護(hù)理服務(wù)等。
報告還稱:“引導(dǎo)創(chuàng)新和技術(shù)擴(kuò)散,將成為當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)興的重中之重。政府在利用優(yōu)惠融資條件設(shè)計雄心勃勃的經(jīng)濟(jì)支持政策時,既要考慮到直接結(jié)果的緊迫性(尤其是在創(chuàng)造就業(yè)方面),同時還要面向未來市場,著手準(zhǔn)備更廣泛的經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型。”(財富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇(World Economic Forum)在2020年12月中旬發(fā)布的一項(xiàng)企業(yè)高管調(diào)查顯示,從日益激烈的競爭到治理動態(tài)以及技術(shù)問題,商界領(lǐng)袖對諸多領(lǐng)域的擔(dān)憂正在加劇。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇的《全球競爭力報告》(Global Competitiveness Report)共采訪了來自126個國家的11,866位商業(yè)領(lǐng)袖。
高管們最擔(dān)心的兩個熱點(diǎn)問題是:一、網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)領(lǐng)域的競爭狀況;二、世界不同地區(qū)在信息通信技術(shù)采用方面日益擴(kuò)大的差距。隨著公司被迫調(diào)整工作模式,員工也不得不在廚房和客廳里工作,因此網(wǎng)絡(luò)提供商的實(shí)力成倍增長。這種趨勢未來可能會帶來企業(yè)合并或者權(quán)力轉(zhuǎn)移。
報告稱:“將2020年商界領(lǐng)袖的觀點(diǎn)與他們在之前三年的觀點(diǎn)進(jìn)行對比后發(fā)現(xiàn),自新冠疫情爆發(fā)以來,發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的服務(wù)(網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)、專業(yè)服務(wù)和零售服務(wù))競爭明顯減少,潛在的原因是自疫情爆發(fā)以來對平臺的過度依賴,進(jìn)一步刺激了這些國家業(yè)已增長的‘贏者通吃’的經(jīng)濟(jì)。”
商業(yè)專家表示,網(wǎng)絡(luò)提供商的市場未來可能會出現(xiàn)某種形式的萎縮。這當(dāng)中自然存在一些危險,但要防止這些危險的發(fā)生,還有一個權(quán)宜措施,那就是發(fā)揮美國聯(lián)邦貿(mào)易委員會(Federal Trade Commission)的作用。
埃默里大學(xué)(Emory University)戈伊祖塔商學(xué)院(Goizueta Business School)的副院長拉姆納特?切拉帕說:“在科技行業(yè),企業(yè)的合并是不可避免的,無論是通過創(chuàng)新、收購還是兼并等形式。在科技行業(yè)有一種現(xiàn)象名為網(wǎng)絡(luò)效應(yīng),使企業(yè)合并能夠帶來巨大的好處,即合并后的整體效益大于各部分之[和]。然后正如我們所看到的那樣,壟斷行為構(gòu)成了巨大威脅,所以政府開始介入。”
一段時間以來,全球的數(shù)字化產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)歷了爆炸式增長,但它在疫情期間迎來了更快的發(fā)展速度。自2010年以來,全球互聯(lián)網(wǎng)用戶翻了一番,現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)超過了全球人口的50%;并且所有商業(yè)部門都采用了數(shù)字技術(shù)。
在2020年數(shù)字化的飛速增長中,受益最大的是電商行業(yè)。從2019年7月至2020年7月,電子商務(wù)增長了24%,亞馬遜(Amazon)、沃爾瑪(Walmart)等大型在線零售商的客戶數(shù)量激增。相比之下,電子商務(wù)從2010年到2019年的平均年增長率只有10%。
與此同時,在線學(xué)習(xí)、視頻會議和在線娛樂也迎來了大幅增長。
然而這些數(shù)字技術(shù)的快速應(yīng)用,卻導(dǎo)致疫情之前已經(jīng)存在的數(shù)字鴻溝進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。企業(yè)高管們表示,他們預(yù)計明年“無論是各國之間和國家內(nèi)部,還是不同行業(yè)或公司之間及其內(nèi)部的”數(shù)字鴻溝還將進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。
在網(wǎng)絡(luò)不夠普及的地區(qū),創(chuàng)業(yè)文化尤其可以感受到這種差異所帶來的影響。但這并不意味著硅谷將迎來新的黃金時代。報告指出,雖然過去一年創(chuàng)業(yè)文化有顯著增長,但突破性技術(shù)的研發(fā)卻出現(xiàn)了停滯。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇表示,初創(chuàng)公司未能提供能源消耗或排放等問題的解決方案,也沒有滿足對包容性社會服務(wù)的需求。
為了滿足這些需求,政府需要增加對研發(fā)的公共投資,并激勵私營部門的風(fēng)險資本一起支持研發(fā)。報告還建議制定激勵措施,鼓勵對研究、創(chuàng)新、發(fā)明和多元化與包容性等方面的投資,以創(chuàng)造“未來市場”,包括教育科技、數(shù)據(jù)和護(hù)理服務(wù)等。
報告還稱:“引導(dǎo)創(chuàng)新和技術(shù)擴(kuò)散,將成為當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)興的重中之重。政府在利用優(yōu)惠融資條件設(shè)計雄心勃勃的經(jīng)濟(jì)支持政策時,既要考慮到直接結(jié)果的緊迫性(尤其是在創(chuàng)造就業(yè)方面),同時還要面向未來市場,著手準(zhǔn)備更廣泛的經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型。”(財富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
A survey of executives by the World Economic Forum, released in mid-December 2020, shows rising levels of concern in a number of areas, ranging from increases in competition to governance dynamics to technical concerns. All totaled, the WEF spoke with 11,866 business leaders from 126 countries as part of its Global Competitiveness Report.
Two of executives’ bigger anxiety hotspots were competition in network services and growing gaps in information and communication technology adoption in certain areas of the world. As companies have been forced to readjust their work patterns and employees have done their jobs from their kitchens and guest rooms, the strength of network providers has grown exponentially. And that could result in either consolidation or a power shift down the road.
“Comparing the views of business leaders in 2020 with their views during the previous three years it emerges that, in advanced economies since the pandemic, there has been…a marked decline in competition in services (network, professional, and retail services), possibly driven by the overreliance on platforms since the beginning of the pandemic, reenforcing an already growing winner-take-all economy in these markets,” the report reads.
Business experts say a shrinking marketplace among network providers is likely to happen, in one form or another. And there certainly are some dangers of that, but there’s also a stopgap to prevent those dangers—the Federal Trade Commission.
“Consolidation is inevitable in technology industries—be it through innovation, acquisition, or merger,” says Ramnath Chellappa, an associate dean at Emory University’s Goizueta Business School. “In the tech industry, a phenomenon called network effects allows for disproportionate benefits from consolidation—i.e., the whole is greater than the [sum] of the parts. And as we are seeing, then the threat of monopolistic practices looms large, and hence government steps in.”
Digitization has been growing at an explosive rate globally for some time, but it has seen an even bigger surge during the pandemic. Since 2010, the number of Internet users worldwide has doubled, now surpassing 50% of the world’s population. And every business sector has adopted digital technologies.
No field benefited more from that surge in 2020 than e-commerce. Companies like Amazon, Walmart, and other major online retailers saw a huge rise in customers as e-commerce climbed 24% between July 2019 and July 2020. That’s in contrast to average annual increases of just 10% from 2010 to 2019.
E-learning, videoconferencing, and online entertainment have also seen big increases.
That fast adoption, though, has widened the digital divide that already existed before the pandemic. And executives say they expect that gap to grow still wider in the next year “both across and within countries and across and within industries or companies,” said the report.
One area that could feel a particular impact from that disparity is startup culture in less-wired regions. But that doesn’t mean Silicon Valley is set for a new golden age. The report noted that though entrepreneurial culture has grown substantially in the past year, the creation of breakthrough technologies has stalled. Startups, according to the WEF, have failed to deliver solutions in energy consumption, emissions, or meeting the demand for inclusive social services.
To fill those needs, it prompted governments to expand public investment in research and development and to incentivize venture capital in the private sector. It also suggested creating incentives for investments in research, innovation, invention, and diversity and inclusion to help create the “markets of tomorrow,” which include education tech, data, and care services.
“Directing innovation and technological diffusion will be among the top priorities for the immediate revival of the economy,” reads the report. “As governments design ambitious support packages for the economy, leveraging favorable financing conditions, they will have to balance the urgency for immediate results—particularly in terms of job creation—with the need to start preparing a broader economic transformation towards the markets of tomorrow.”