2018年的夏天真的算是酷熱，世界多地的氣溫都創紀錄，一刻不得喘息。

壞消息是，據一項新預報，未來5年還將如此。

天氣預報認為，這個階段是“反常的熱”，還不算人類應該擔責的全球氣候變暖問題。

發表在《自然》雜志網站的一份研究報告，認定這個星球的自然變暖趨勢（不包括人類帶來的溫室氣體效益影響）正在起變化。

過去十年的大部分時間里，海洋振蕩之類的因素在減緩自然變暖趨勢。但是，這些因素在變化，從而加速變暖進程，我們也將看到更多的高溫紀錄。

這個趨勢下，地球已經經歷了史上最熱的4年。加州大學伯克利分校的一位追蹤氣候變化的研究者認為，我們恐怕再也回不到如2014年那般涼爽的天氣了。

負責這項研究的科學家指出，盡管我們會看到變暖的提速——58%的機率地球整體氣溫在未來5年變得異常熱，69%機率地球上的海洋變熱——但還不是板上釘釘。

這份研究也沒有把人稱厄爾尼諾的氣候現象考慮進去，這一現象也影響溫度。

主導此項研究的科學家打趣說，現在開始囤積短褲應該是個好主意。

這份研究的聯合作者、法國國家科學研究中心的科學家弗洛瑞安·塞韋萊克告訴華盛頓郵報：“我們發現在未來5年左右，極可能出現相較于反常寒冷的反常炎熱氣候?！保ㄘ敻恢形木W）

譯者：宣峰

Summer 2018 has been nothing short of brutal. Record temperatures have been set worldwide and we’ve seen little relief.

Bad news: None is on the way for the next five years, either, according to a new forecast.

Forecasters say the period will be ‘anomalously warm’ — and that’s on top of any global warming we humans are responsible for.

The study, which was published on?Nature?magazine’s website, postulates that the planet’s natural warming trend (which excludes the impact of greenhouse gasses introduced by humans) is set for a change.

For most of this decade, they say, factors such as oscillations in the oceans, have slowed down that natural warming. However, those factors are changing and that could actually accelerate the warming process, meaning more record temperatures are on the way.

This comes as Earth has already experienced the four hottest years in its history. And one researcher that tracks climate change at UC Berkeley believes it’s unlikely we’ll see temperatures as cool as they were in 2014 ever again.

The scientists in charge of this study note that while it’s likely we’ll see the acceleration of heating — there’s a 58% chance Earth’s overall temperature will be anomalously warm over the next five years, and a 69% chance Earth’s oceans will be — it’s not an absolute certainty.

The study also does not factor in the atmospheric condition known as El Ni?o, which also impacts temperatures.

Still, the scientists who conducted the research say it’s probably a good idea to stock up on shorts.

“What we found is that for the next five years or so, there is a high likelihood of an anomalously warm climate compared to anomalously cold,” Florian Sevellec, co-author of the study and a scientist at France’s National Center for Scientific Research, told the?Washington Post.