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這只科技股很低調(diào),但漲幅竟遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)了Zoom

Anne Sraders
2020-06-29

云計(jì)算服務(wù)供應(yīng)商Fastly的股價(jià)同期上漲222%。

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Zoom已經(jīng)被推下了王位。

過(guò)去三個(gè)月,無(wú)疑我們每一個(gè)人都在用Zoom,這家視頻會(huì)議公司的股票自2月19日市場(chǎng)高點(diǎn)以來(lái)已經(jīng)大漲159%,然而,云計(jì)算服務(wù)供應(yīng)商Fastly的股價(jià)同期上漲222%,遠(yuǎn)超Zoom。

瑞士信貸(Credit Suisse)的布拉德?澤爾尼克稱,對(duì)大多數(shù)人來(lái)說(shuō),F(xiàn)astly “在混亂中被漏掉了。”但如今,它顯然已經(jīng)“走到了舞臺(tái)中央”。

Fastly是一家內(nèi)容交付網(wǎng)絡(luò)供應(yīng)商,幫助用戶更快地訪問(wèn)數(shù)字內(nèi)容。該公司還提供安全服務(wù)、視頻傳輸和所謂的邊緣計(jì)算服務(wù)。它最大的客戶有哪些?舉幾個(gè)例子:Slack、愛(ài)彼迎(Airbnb)、Spotify和Stripe等重量級(jí)公司。

圖片來(lái)源:FSLY-NYSE-podium_web

對(duì)Fastly來(lái)說(shuō),過(guò)去幾個(gè)月無(wú)疑很不尋常:迎來(lái)了新任首席執(zhí)行官約書(shū)亞?比克斯比(他于今年2月就任),之后在5月賣(mài)出了600萬(wàn)股股票。

許多公司(比如Zoom)正在從居家辦公中受益。很多分析師和專家認(rèn)為,即使日后恢復(fù)了辦公室工作,居家辦公的趨勢(shì)也將產(chǎn)生持久影響。與此同時(shí),由于“居家隔離政策”,人們?cè)陔娔X屏幕前花的時(shí)間更多了,網(wǎng)購(gòu)、觀看更多的流媒體內(nèi)容和在線視頻。

在這種背景下,F(xiàn)astly的出色表現(xiàn)對(duì)于像D.A. Davidson的里希?賈魯里亞這樣的人來(lái)說(shuō)并不意外。整個(gè)華爾街,賈魯里亞給Fastly設(shè)置的目標(biāo)股價(jià)最高。他說(shuō),F(xiàn)astly是獨(dú)一無(wú)二的,因?yàn)樗钌狭藘晒身橈L(fēng):“它可以從多個(gè)方面獲益:不僅僅是在家辦公,不僅僅是居家隔離;它從兩頭都能獲利。”

該公司正在從網(wǎng)絡(luò)流量激增和即時(shí)通訊軟件Slack、GitHub等重要居家辦公工具的增長(zhǎng)中獲益。賈魯里亞不認(rèn)為“居家辦工帶來(lái)的行為改變?cè)诂F(xiàn)階段是可逆的。”

與此同時(shí),F(xiàn)astly的客戶還包括Wayfair和Shopify這樣的電商巨頭,因此能和客戶一起搭上在線購(gòu)物的浪潮——所以說(shuō),“他們可以從多個(gè)方面受益,而不僅僅是其中一種。”賈魯里亞說(shuō)。

該公司在5月還公布了亮眼的一季度業(yè)績(jī),收入較上年同期增長(zhǎng)了38%。該公司還將今年的收益預(yù)期從2.65億美元上調(diào)至高達(dá)2.9億美元(賈魯里亞認(rèn)為,他們可能會(huì)進(jìn)一步上調(diào)預(yù)期)。不過(guò)到目前為止,公司態(tài)度保守,認(rèn)為居家辦公和疫情帶來(lái)的好處不會(huì)持續(xù)太久。公司管理層預(yù)計(jì),到第二季度末(也就是接下來(lái)幾周),居家工作(和激增的流量)帶來(lái)的紅利可能會(huì)逐漸消失。

但分析人士表示,特殊時(shí)期可能還遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有結(jié)束,保守的態(tài)度可能會(huì)收獲意想不到的增長(zhǎng)。

“我們總是說(shuō),特殊時(shí)期其實(shí)是讓已經(jīng)存在的趨勢(shì)突然加速了。我認(rèn)為Fastly就是這樣。”賈魯里亞表示,“這不是臨時(shí)現(xiàn)象,不是說(shuō)隨著疫情緩和,相關(guān)紅利就會(huì)消失。我認(rèn)為,F(xiàn)astly應(yīng)該能享受到更長(zhǎng)久的好處。”

瑞士信貸的澤爾尼克等其他分析師認(rèn)為,F(xiàn)astly的發(fā)展勢(shì)頭還擁有和疫情無(wú)關(guān)的廣闊前景,那就是邊緣計(jì)算。用外行的話來(lái)說(shuō),邊緣計(jì)算本質(zhì)上是在接近終端用戶的地方進(jìn)行的數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算,這樣內(nèi)容交付就可以在“離應(yīng)用程序的終端用戶更近的地方完成,而且越來(lái)越近”,澤爾尼克解釋說(shuō)。他認(rèn)為,“當(dāng)下這種大范圍向邊緣計(jì)算傾斜的架構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變,未來(lái)很多年都能讓Fastly受益,而不僅僅是在特殊時(shí)期。”而且,隨著5G和物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的興起,賈魯里亞認(rèn)為Fastly可以處于有利位置。

不過(guò),F(xiàn)astly并不是唯一一家內(nèi)容交付網(wǎng)絡(luò)供應(yīng)商,Cloudflare和Akamai等其他競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月也大幅上漲,它們的市值都遠(yuǎn)高于Fastly的76億美元。和Zoom一樣,F(xiàn)astly的估值也不便宜,澤爾尼克指出,軟件領(lǐng)域的估值已經(jīng)處于歷史高位。與此同時(shí),疫情加快恢復(fù)正常和可能出現(xiàn)的流量下降也會(huì)對(duì)公司業(yè)績(jī)?cè)斐刹焕绊憽6曳治鋈耸恐赋觯擃I(lǐng)域的準(zhǔn)入門(mén)檻并不是都那么高。

但是賈魯里亞和澤爾尼克等分析人士指出,F(xiàn)astly是軟件開(kāi)發(fā)人員的首選,而且如澤爾尼克所言,更重要的是,該公司“在未來(lái)的許多年里,都可以用于搭建提供數(shù)字體驗(yàn)、開(kāi)發(fā)移動(dòng)和網(wǎng)絡(luò)應(yīng)用的狀態(tài)架構(gòu)。”

上周二,該股又上漲6%,盤(pán)中交易價(jià)達(dá)到每股77美元左右,但一些分析師認(rèn)為還有更大的上漲空間。“如果你在一個(gè)月前問(wèn)我,Zoom的發(fā)展勢(shì)頭能否持續(xù),我會(huì)回答:‘不,太瘋狂了。’”賈魯里亞說(shuō)。但如果你問(wèn)“我是否認(rèn)為,只要(Fastly)繼續(xù)保持出色的運(yùn)營(yíng),它的股票就還能繼續(xù)漲?是的。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Agatha

Zoom已經(jīng)被推下了王位。

過(guò)去三個(gè)月,無(wú)疑我們每一個(gè)人都在用Zoom,這家視頻會(huì)議公司的股票自2月19日市場(chǎng)高點(diǎn)以來(lái)已經(jīng)大漲159%,然而,云計(jì)算服務(wù)供應(yīng)商Fastly的股價(jià)同期上漲222%,遠(yuǎn)超Zoom。

瑞士信貸(Credit Suisse)的布拉德?澤爾尼克稱,對(duì)大多數(shù)人來(lái)說(shuō),F(xiàn)astly “在混亂中被漏掉了。”但如今,它顯然已經(jīng)“走到了舞臺(tái)中央”。

Fastly是一家內(nèi)容交付網(wǎng)絡(luò)供應(yīng)商,幫助用戶更快地訪問(wèn)數(shù)字內(nèi)容。該公司還提供安全服務(wù)、視頻傳輸和所謂的邊緣計(jì)算服務(wù)。它最大的客戶有哪些?舉幾個(gè)例子:Slack、愛(ài)彼迎(Airbnb)、Spotify和Stripe等重量級(jí)公司。

對(duì)Fastly來(lái)說(shuō),過(guò)去幾個(gè)月無(wú)疑很不尋常:迎來(lái)了新任首席執(zhí)行官約書(shū)亞?比克斯比(他于今年2月就任),之后在5月賣(mài)出了600萬(wàn)股股票。

許多公司(比如Zoom)正在從居家辦公中受益。很多分析師和專家認(rèn)為,即使日后恢復(fù)了辦公室工作,居家辦公的趨勢(shì)也將產(chǎn)生持久影響。與此同時(shí),由于“居家隔離政策”,人們?cè)陔娔X屏幕前花的時(shí)間更多了,網(wǎng)購(gòu)、觀看更多的流媒體內(nèi)容和在線視頻。

在這種背景下,F(xiàn)astly的出色表現(xiàn)對(duì)于像D.A. Davidson的里希?賈魯里亞這樣的人來(lái)說(shuō)并不意外。整個(gè)華爾街,賈魯里亞給Fastly設(shè)置的目標(biāo)股價(jià)最高。他說(shuō),F(xiàn)astly是獨(dú)一無(wú)二的,因?yàn)樗钌狭藘晒身橈L(fēng):“它可以從多個(gè)方面獲益:不僅僅是在家辦公,不僅僅是居家隔離;它從兩頭都能獲利。”

該公司正在從網(wǎng)絡(luò)流量激增和即時(shí)通訊軟件Slack、GitHub等重要居家辦公工具的增長(zhǎng)中獲益。賈魯里亞不認(rèn)為“居家辦工帶來(lái)的行為改變?cè)诂F(xiàn)階段是可逆的。”

與此同時(shí),F(xiàn)astly的客戶還包括Wayfair和Shopify這樣的電商巨頭,因此能和客戶一起搭上在線購(gòu)物的浪潮——所以說(shuō),“他們可以從多個(gè)方面受益,而不僅僅是其中一種。”賈魯里亞說(shuō)。

該公司在5月還公布了亮眼的一季度業(yè)績(jī),收入較上年同期增長(zhǎng)了38%。該公司還將今年的收益預(yù)期從2.65億美元上調(diào)至高達(dá)2.9億美元(賈魯里亞認(rèn)為,他們可能會(huì)進(jìn)一步上調(diào)預(yù)期)。不過(guò)到目前為止,公司態(tài)度保守,認(rèn)為居家辦公和疫情帶來(lái)的好處不會(huì)持續(xù)太久。公司管理層預(yù)計(jì),到第二季度末(也就是接下來(lái)幾周),居家工作(和激增的流量)帶來(lái)的紅利可能會(huì)逐漸消失。

但分析人士表示,特殊時(shí)期可能還遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有結(jié)束,保守的態(tài)度可能會(huì)收獲意想不到的增長(zhǎng)。

“我們總是說(shuō),特殊時(shí)期其實(shí)是讓已經(jīng)存在的趨勢(shì)突然加速了。我認(rèn)為Fastly就是這樣。”賈魯里亞表示,“這不是臨時(shí)現(xiàn)象,不是說(shuō)隨著疫情緩和,相關(guān)紅利就會(huì)消失。我認(rèn)為,F(xiàn)astly應(yīng)該能享受到更長(zhǎng)久的好處。”

瑞士信貸的澤爾尼克等其他分析師認(rèn)為,F(xiàn)astly的發(fā)展勢(shì)頭還擁有和疫情無(wú)關(guān)的廣闊前景,那就是邊緣計(jì)算。用外行的話來(lái)說(shuō),邊緣計(jì)算本質(zhì)上是在接近終端用戶的地方進(jìn)行的數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算,這樣內(nèi)容交付就可以在“離應(yīng)用程序的終端用戶更近的地方完成,而且越來(lái)越近”,澤爾尼克解釋說(shuō)。他認(rèn)為,“當(dāng)下這種大范圍向邊緣計(jì)算傾斜的架構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變,未來(lái)很多年都能讓Fastly受益,而不僅僅是在特殊時(shí)期。”而且,隨著5G和物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的興起,賈魯里亞認(rèn)為Fastly可以處于有利位置。

不過(guò),F(xiàn)astly并不是唯一一家內(nèi)容交付網(wǎng)絡(luò)供應(yīng)商,Cloudflare和Akamai等其他競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月也大幅上漲,它們的市值都遠(yuǎn)高于Fastly的76億美元。和Zoom一樣,F(xiàn)astly的估值也不便宜,澤爾尼克指出,軟件領(lǐng)域的估值已經(jīng)處于歷史高位。與此同時(shí),疫情加快恢復(fù)正常和可能出現(xiàn)的流量下降也會(huì)對(duì)公司業(yè)績(jī)?cè)斐刹焕绊憽6曳治鋈耸恐赋觯擃I(lǐng)域的準(zhǔn)入門(mén)檻并不是都那么高。

但是賈魯里亞和澤爾尼克等分析人士指出,F(xiàn)astly是軟件開(kāi)發(fā)人員的首選,而且如澤爾尼克所言,更重要的是,該公司“在未來(lái)的許多年里,都可以用于搭建提供數(shù)字體驗(yàn)、開(kāi)發(fā)移動(dòng)和網(wǎng)絡(luò)應(yīng)用的狀態(tài)架構(gòu)。”

上周二,該股又上漲6%,盤(pán)中交易價(jià)達(dá)到每股77美元左右,但一些分析師認(rèn)為還有更大的上漲空間。“如果你在一個(gè)月前問(wèn)我,Zoom的發(fā)展勢(shì)頭能否持續(xù),我會(huì)回答:‘不,太瘋狂了。’”賈魯里亞說(shuō)。但如果你問(wèn)“我是否認(rèn)為,只要(Fastly)繼續(xù)保持出色的運(yùn)營(yíng),它的股票就還能繼續(xù)漲?是的。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Agatha

Zoom has been dethroned.

While the videoconferencing company we’ve no doubt all used in the past three months has seen a massive 159% rally since its Feb. 19 market peak, Fastly, a cloud computing services provider, has gained over 222% in the same time frame—and now clinches the title of the best-performing work-from-home stock during the pandemic.

For most people, Credit Suisse’s Brad Zelnick argues, Fastly "was lost in the shuffle a little bit.” But now, it’s certainly “come to the forefront.”

Fastly is a content delivery network (CDN) company that helps users view digital content more quickly. The company also provides security, video delivery, and so-called edge computing services. Some of its biggest customers? Heavy hitters like Slack, Airbnb, Spotify, and Stripe, to name a few.

Add in a new CEO, Joshua Bixby (who took the helm in February), and a follow-on stock sale of 6 million shares in May, and it’s certainly been an eventful few months for Fastly.

Many firms (like Zoom) are benefiting from the shift to working from home—a trend many analysts and experts expect will have a lasting impact even after employees return to their offices. Meanwhile, shelter-in-place orders have led people to spend more time in front of screens, to shop online, and to digest more streaming and video content.

Against that backdrop, Fastly’s outperformance isn’t a surprise for those like D.A. Davidson’s Rishi Jaluria. But Jaluria, who has the highest price target on the Street for the stock, suggests Fastly is unique because it has two tailwinds going for it: “It can benefit in multiple ways: It’s not purely work from home; it’s not purely shelter in place; it kind of has areas that benefit on both sides,” he tells Fortune.

The company is reaping gains from the surge of online traffic and from work-from-home staples like messaging app Slack and GitHub. And Jaluria, for one, doesn’t think these “behavioral changes you get from work from home are reversible now.”

Meanwhile, with e-commerce giants like Wayfair and Shopify as customers, Fastly has been able to ride the surge in online shopping along with its customers—so there are “multiple ways they benefit, not just one or the other,” Jaluria notes.

It hasn’t hurt that Fastly also reported a strong first quarter in May, as revenue popped 38% from the year-ago quarter. The company also raised earnings guidance for the year from $265 million to as much as $290 million (although Jaluria, for one, thinks they might raise estimates still more). Yet the company has thus far been conservative about how long the benefits of work from home and the pandemic may last. Management has projected the benefits of work from home (and the surge in traffic) may start dying down by the end of the second quarter (in the next couple weeks).

But analysts note the pandemic is likely long from over and suggest that conservatism opens up the possibility of a surprise to the upside.

“We always talk about what’s happening with COVID is accelerating existing trends. I think that’s exactly what’s happening with Fastly,” Jaluria argues. “This isn’t a temporary thing, and as things ease up, that benefit goes away. I think these are longer-lasting benefits that Fastly should benefit from.”

Other analysts like Credit Suisse’s Zelnick think there’s a bigger picture to Fastly’s momentum that isn’t tied to the pandemic: edge computing. In layman’s terms, edge computing is essentially data computing that is done closer to the end user, and content delivery is “further distributed and pushed out closer and closer to the end user of these applications,” Zelnick explains. It’s this “broader edge computing and this broader architectural shift that’s happening [that] is going to benefit Fastly for many years to come, not just during a time of pandemic,” he contends. And in light of the rise of 5G and the Internet of things, Jaluria suggests Fastly may be well positioned.

Yet Fastly certainly isn’t alone as a content delivery network, and other competitors like Cloudflare and Akamai have also seen a boost in the past few months, all boasting market caps much larger than Fastly’s $7.6 billion. And as far as valuations go, much like Zoom, Fastly doesn’t come cheap, and Zelnick points out valuations in the software space are historically elevated. Meanwhile, a faster return to normalcy from the pandemic and potential decrease in traffic could hurt the business as well, and analysts point out barriers to entry in the space aren’t all that high.

But those like Jaluria and Zelnick note Fastly is a favorite among software developers, and more important, Zelnick argues, the company is “l(fā)everaged to the future state architecture for digital experiences and mobile and web applications for many, many years to come.”

Fastly gained another 6% last Tuesday and was trading at roughly $77 a share in intraday trading, but some analysts see even more room to run for the stock. “If you were to ask me a month ago if I thought Zoom’s run-up was sustainable, I would have said, ‘No, this is insane,’” Jaluria says. But "do I think [Fastly’s stock] can continue working as long as they continue to execute as well as they have been? Yes.”

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