下注特斯拉股價會下跌的投資者——即所謂“空頭”——自馬斯克首次發(fā)推談公司私有化后，已賺取12億美元。《紐約時報》對馬斯克作了一次信息詳盡的專訪，此后特斯拉股價下跌9%，空頭所賺的大頭也來自周五當(dāng)天。

證券分析公司S3 Partners周五發(fā)表的一篇報道算了這筆帳。周五的大跌，扭轉(zhuǎn)了馬斯克8月7日發(fā)推文“考慮將特斯拉以每股420美元私有化”后股價一路上漲的勢頭，420美元比當(dāng)時特斯拉的市價溢出約18%。

據(jù)S3的文章透露，特斯拉股價自馬斯克發(fā)推文后上漲，使得做空者損失了13億美元，但很快情況清晰了，馬斯克夸大了其資金來源的確定性，而證券交易委員會也開始就其聲明展開調(diào)查，這些使得股價回跌。周五，《紐約時報》的專訪，詳述了馬斯克幾周內(nèi)共120小時的工作狀況，談到他如何缺少社交生活以及依賴唑吡坦才能入睡，這個專訪使得特斯拉股價一天內(nèi)下跌9%，10天內(nèi)共計下跌19%。這跌法讓空頭賺了25億美元，除去損失后凈賺12億美元。

S3解釋，上述所有數(shù)字都是按市值計算的，也就是說是基于當(dāng)前的價格，而不論交易商是否實際上平倉套現(xiàn)。據(jù)S3的消息，盡管能獲得大額的短期賬面收入，僅有4%的空頭選擇平倉。一些較悲觀的分析師，包括高盛的大衛(wèi)·塔姆波里諾，認為特斯拉股價會跌到每股200美元以下。

在美國股市，特斯拉是被做空最多的股票。盡管空頭們近期賺了，但據(jù)S3的報道，長期做空特斯拉的空頭們自2016年已經(jīng)損失了50億美元，因同期特斯拉的股價漲了大約65%。（財富中文網(wǎng)）

譯者：宣峰

Investors betting that Tesla stock will lose value — so-called “shorts” — have made $1.2 billion since CEO Elon Musk first tweeted about taking the company private. Much of that gain came on Friday, after the New York Times published a revealing, emotional interview with Musk that drove Tesla stock down nearly 9%.

The tally comes from a report released Friday by stock analytics firm S3 Partners. The Friday collapse helped reverse a price spike after Musk’s August 7 Tweet saying he was “considering taking Tesla private at $420,” about 18% higher than the stock’s market value at the time.

According to S3, the subsequent surge in Tesla stock cost short positions $1.3 billion. But soon after, it became clear that Musk had exaggerated the certainty of his funding, and the SEC began a probe of his statements, driving the stock back down. On Friday, the Times?interview with Musk detailed his 120-hour work weeks, lack of social life, and reliance on Ambien to sleep. That sent the stock down 9% in one day, for a total drop of 19% over 10 days. That gave $2.5 billion back to the shorts, for a net gain of $1.2 billion since Musk’s going-private tweet.

All of these numbers, as S3 notes, are mark-to-market — that is, they are based on current prices, whether or not traders actually closed their positions to cash out. According to S3, only 4% of shorts have done so, despite their big short-term paper gains. Some bearish analysts, including David Tamberrino at Goldman Sachs, have said the stock will drop below $200 per share.

Tesla is the most shorted stock in the U.S. stock market. Despite their recent gains, S3 reports long-term shorts have lost $5 billion since 2016, with Tesla stock still up roughly 65% over that span.