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新興市場未來可期的五大理由

新興市場未來可期的五大理由

Pankaj Ghemawat 2013-10-22
盡管全球經濟增長的重心正在向發展中國家轉移,但來自發達國家的跨國公司仍然主導著《財富》世界500強排行榜。今年的排行榜上,4家公司就有3家來自發達國家。不過,這種情況將很快發生改變。發達國家和發展中國家兩者的力量對比變化決定了,發展中國家的跨國公司未來將在全球經濟活動中扮演越來越重要的角色。

????發展中世界的公司正變得越來越聰明:人們通常認為,和規模較小、技術落后而且市場經驗較少的新興市場公司相比,來自發達國家的跨國公司在任何方面都比前者更強。不過,新興市場企業具有一些獨特的能力。舉例來說,許多中國和印度公司所擁有的低成本讓來自發達國家的競爭對手感到羨慕。新興經濟體企業還特別有可能獲得主場優勢。此外,新興經濟體的相似度較高,也就是說其他新興市場也可能獲得這樣的優勢。隨著兩類企業相互進入對方的市場,來自發達國家的跨國公司甚至已經不能把自己在本國的主導地位視為囊中之物。就像一位管理學大師所言,是窮人學著像富人那樣生活容易,還是富人學著過窮人的生活容易呢?

????當然,以上幾點并不意味著來自發達國家的跨國公司已經毫無勝算。它們在營銷、研發和管理體系方面依然擁有巨大的優勢?,F有的500強企業根基牢固,它們在制定商業活動參與規則方面依然擁有壓倒性的決定權。但盡管如此,新興市場跨國企業已經牢牢地把改變局勢定為自己的目標。來自發達國家的跨國公司需要認真考慮這種可能性,以免最終落敗。(財富中文網)

????本文作者潘卡吉?蓋馬沃特是IESE商學院全球戰略Rubiralta教席教授,也是《世界3.0》一書的作者。

????譯者:Charlie?

????Corporations in the developing world are getting smarter: It is generally assumed that advanced country multinationals are capable of doing anything that their smaller, technologically backward, less marketing-savvy counterparts from emerging countries can. However, the latter possess some special capabilities of their own. A number of Chinese and Indian companies, for example, have developed low-cost capabilities that are the envy of competitors from advanced countries. Companies from emerging economies are particularly likely to have a home-court advantage. Moreover, the greater similarity between emerging economies suggests that these advantages may extend to other emerging markets as well. And as they move into each other's markets, advanced country multinationals can't even take their dominance at home for granted: As one management sage asks, is it easier for a poor man to learn to live like a rich man, or for a rich man to learn how to live like a poor man?

????Of course, none of this is meant to suggest that the game is over for advanced country multinationals. They still enjoy significant advantages in terms of marketing, R&D, and management systems. As the entrenched incumbents, they also have a disproportionate ability to dictate the terms of engagement. But that said, emerging market multinationals have their sights firmly set on shaking things up. Advanced country multinationals need to take that possibility seriously to try to avoid ending up on the casualty list.

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