明星基金經理的選擇:2013年15大金股
穆迪 查克·阿克爾Akre Focus 股票代碼:(MCO) 行業:金融 ????“穆迪(Moody's)當然不是一家沒有爭議的公司,”查克·阿克爾承認。這樣的說法太輕描淡寫了。這家評級公司在金融危機期間給予有毒債務以金光閃閃的AAA評級,招來如潮的惡評。但穆迪扛過了那段時期——阿克爾相信它的未來是光明的。這位投資經理所管理的12億美元Akre焦點基金自2009年以來年均回報率15%,好于84%的同類基金(他前一只基金在十多年的時間里年均回報率達到12.6%)。阿克爾指出:“投資債市就不能不了解它們的評級。”因此,穆迪有“極好的定價力”,這也是為何它能產生近30%的自有現金流利潤率。 ????這只股票最近漲勢不錯,但阿克爾指出,該股目前16倍的動態市盈率僅及危機前估值的一半。由于聲譽可能受損,這只股票的股價仍屬便宜。他說,事實上歐洲危機甚至有利于穆迪。隨著歐洲銀行業停止放貸,企業如果要籌集現金,就只能發行債務。阿克爾也看好穆迪在美國的業務前景:“在這樣的低利率環境下,債券融資的需求驚人。” ????--Mina Kimes |
Moody's Chuck Akre?Akre Focus Ticker:?(MCO) Sector pick:?Finance ????"Moody's is a company that is certainly not without its controversies," admits Chuck Akre. That's quite an understatement. The ratings agency was famously vilified during the financial crisis for awarding gilded AAA ratings to toxic debt. But Moody's survived -- and Akre thinks its future is bright. The money manager, whose $1.2 billion?Akre Focus Fund?(AKREX)?has returned 15% a year since 2009, besting 84% of peers (after he averaged 12.6% a year for more than a decade at his previous fund), notes, "You can't go to the debt market without one of their ratings, period." As a result, Moody's has "fabulous pricing power," which is why it generates free-cash-flow margins of nearly 30%. ????The stock has been on a tear recently, but Akre thinks that at 16 times next year's earnings -- half its pre-crisis valuation -- it remains a bargain because of the lingering damage to its reputation. Moody's could actually benefit from the crisis in Europe, he says. As banks there stop lending, companies will have to issue bonds if they want to raise cash. Akre also likes Moody's prospects in the U.S.: "The need for debt financing in this low-interest-rate environment is staggering." ????--Mina Kimes |