明星基金經(jīng)理的選擇:2013年15大金股
吉利德科學(xué) 克里斯·詹納T. Rowe Price Health Sciences基金 股票代碼:(GILD,?財富500強(qiáng)) 行業(yè):醫(yī)藥 ????曾經(jīng)當(dāng)過醫(yī)生的克里斯·詹納從2000年開始管理炙手可熱的T. Rowe Price Health Sciences基金。這只資產(chǎn)規(guī)模49億美元的基金在過去10年實現(xiàn)年化收益率13.6%,顯著高于同類基金的9.0%。詹納開出的處方是:生物科技巨頭吉利德科學(xué),該基金的一只重倉股。吉利德(Gilead)曾因一款艾滋病藥丸(日服一次)名聲大噪。詹納相信它的一款丙肝新藥sofosbuvir應(yīng)能重現(xiàn)這樣的成功。相比當(dāng)前標(biāo)準(zhǔn)療法使用的干擾素,這款新藥的治愈率更高,毒性更低。 ????市場龐大:美國有超過400萬丙肝患者?!氨问袌鰞r值將超過100億美元,”詹納說?!拔覀儸F(xiàn)在正處于黎明前夕?!彼A(yù)計2016年年前,吉利德的營收年均增幅將達(dá)到16%,而每股收益年均增長27%。以最近股價75美元計,這只股票并不便宜——2012年以來累計上漲84%,最近股價是今年普遍預(yù)期每股收益的20倍。詹納建議,可等待股價回落之機(jī)買進(jìn)。但估計需要耐心。詹納說:“在同業(yè)組中,該公司的營收和利潤增長將無人能及。” ????——A.F. |
Gilead Sciences Kris Jenner?T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Ticker:?(GILD,?Fortune 500) Sector pick:?Health care ????Kris Jenner, a former doctor, has operated the white-hot?T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund?(PRHSX)?since 2000. With $4.9 billion in assets, it has delivered an annualized 13.6% gain for the past decade, drubbing its peers' 9.0%. Jenner's prescription: shares of biotech giant Gilead Sciences, one of his fund's largest positions. Gilead made its mark with a once-a-day HIV pill, and Jenner thinks it can repeat that success with a new treatment for hepatitis C. Known as sofosbuvir, it has a higher cure rate with less toxicity than interferon, the standard treatment, he says. ????The market is huge: More than 4 million people have hepatitis C in the U.S. "The hepatitis C market will be in excess of $10 billion," says Jenner, "and we are at the dawn of that market." He believes Gilead's revenue could rise 16% a year through 2016, with earnings per share soaring 27% annually. At a recent $75, the shares aren't cheap -- they're up 84% since the beginning of 2012 and trade at 20 times this year's consensus forecast. Jenner advises waiting for a pullback before buying. But be patient. "In its peer group," he says, "it's going to be unrivaled in terms of its revenues and earnings growth." ????--A.F. |