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四大當家投資品種新年行情預測大碰撞

四大當家投資品種新年行情預測大碰撞

NIN-HAI TSENG 2011-12-30
隨著新年鐘聲即將敲響,我們有理由樂觀,也有理由謹慎。房產、股票、黃金、石油明年走勢如何?4個經濟指標,8種觀點:你是看漲,還是看跌?

黃金:看漲

????黃金往往被視為經濟欠佳時的安全投資品種。瑞士信貸(Credit Suisse)相信2012年黃金可能繼續贏得投資者的青睞。

????金價相比9月份1,900多美元/盎司的高點回落15%,讓很多投資者擔心黃金的牛市行情可能已經結束。但即便是在金價跌破牛熊分水嶺200日均線之后,瑞士信貸仍相信金價將穩定在1,533美元/盎司的水平。

????長期來看,金價可能漲至2,000美元。畢竟,一直以來支撐金價的基本面沒有改變多少。由于美國失業率仍徘徊在9%上下,投資者認為美國經濟仍然存在不確定性。而且,曠日持久的歐洲債務危機還遠未解決。

Gold: Bull

????Gold, popularly known as a safe investment when the economy isn't doing so great, is likely to continue getting the attention of investors in 2012, according to Credit Suisse.

????Gold's 15% slide since September's peak at over $1,900 an ounce has made many investors wonder if the end of its bull market run has come. But even though gold has broken below its 200-day average, which signals an end to the bull market, Credit Suisse expects prices to hold steady at $1,533 an ounce.

????For the long-term, prices could rise to $2,000. After all, the fundamentals that have supported prices haven't changed much. Investors continue to see uncertainty in the U.S. economy as unemployment hovers around 9%. What's more, Europe's ongoing debt crisis is nowhere close to being resolved.

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