國際私募業不看好中國投資前景
????作為德國柏林超級回報國際研討會(SuperReturn International Conference)的活動之一,數百名私募從業者上周參加了一項電子問卷調查。 ????40%的受訪者表示自己是普通合伙人,23%是有限合伙人,另外37%屬于支持部門人員(律師等)。調查結果如下: ????當前周期的下一個頂點將出現在: ????2013年(7%) ????2014年(15%) ????2015年(29%) ????2016年以后(40%) ????私募行業沒有周期可言(8%) ????如果可以向某一地區投資1億美元(6.28億元人民幣),你會選擇: ????北美(36%) ????拉美(6%) ????中國(3%) ????歐洲(27%) ????非洲(16%) ????未來10年平均回報率最高的將是: ????大型并購基金(10%) ????小型并購基金(37%) ????不良債券基金(14%) ????新興市場增長型基金(26%) ????二級市場基金(7%) ????風投基金(6%) ????目前歐洲私募行業正投資于周期的哪個階段? ????底部,大規模投資的時機已到(35%) ????平穩階段(55%) ????接近頂部,退出時機已到(11%) ????未來10年歐洲的最佳投資對象是: ????大型并購基金(13%) ????小型并購基金(35%) ????增長型資本基金(20%) ????不良債券基金(26%) ????沒有好的投資對象,別在歐洲投資(7%) ????如果下一個周期股市回報率為5%左右,那么私募回報率會達到怎樣的水平? ????5-10% (47%) ????5-10%(47%) ????10-15% (40%) ????10-15%(40%)(財富中文網) ????譯者:濤 |
????Hundreds of private equity professionals this morning participated in an electronic polling session, as part of the SuperReturn International conference in Berlin, Germany. ????Forty percent of respondents identified themselves as general partners, 23% as limited partners and 37% as support staff (lawyers, etc.). Below are the results: ????The next peak of the current cycle will be: ????2013 (7%) ????2014 (15%) ????2015 (29%) ????After 2016 (40%) ????There are no cycles in private equity (8%) ????If you had 100 million to invest in a single geography, you would pick: ????North America (36%) ????Latin America (6%) ????China (3%) ????Europe (27%) ????Africa (16%) ????Over the next decade, the highest average returns will come from: ????Large buyout funds (10%) ????Small buyout funds (37%) ????Distressed debt funds (14%) ????Emerging market growth funds (26%) ????Secondary funds (7%) ????Venture capital funds (6%) ????What part of the cycle is European private equity investing in today? ????At bottom, time to invest heavily (35%) ????Average (55%) ????Closer to a top and time to stay away (11%) ????Best European investments over the next decade will come from: ????Large buyout funds (13%) ????Small buyout funds (35%) ????Growth capital funds (20%) ????Distressed debt funds (26%) ????None, avoid Europe (7%) ????If the public equity markets return around 5% over the next cycle, what will private equity returns be? ????5-10% (47%) ????5-10%(47%) ????10-15% (40%) ????10-15%(40%) |
最新文章