是誰讓蘋果市值蒸發了960億美元？
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??? 請看上圖，5月16日下午3點后不久，蘋果（Apple）股價一度跌至540美元多一點。 ??? 差不多與此同時，DoubleLine Capital的杰弗里?岡德拉奇（即上圖中的基金經理）正在曼哈頓對著一屋子的投資經理大談看空蘋果，“我懷疑等到iPad 87出來時，還會有多少人會圍著一個街區轉圈排隊購買”。 |
??? See on the chart at right where Apple's (AAPL) share price dropped to just over $540 shortly after 3 p.m. Wednesday? ??? That corresponds roughly to when the fund manager pictured above left, DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey Gundlach, told a room packed with investment managers that he was shorting Apple. "I just wonder how many people will queue up around the block for an iPad 87," he said. |
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??? 看到收盤前的快速拉升了嗎？這發生在第二位發言人Greenlight Capital的戴維?埃因霍恩講話之后，Greenlight Capital以持有大量空頭頭寸而知名。埃因霍恩認為，岡德拉奇大錯特錯。如果蘋果每年都能推出一款熱銷產品，就不會喪失其吸引力。根據《華爾街日報》（Wall Street Journal）對此次會議的報道，這是“假定蘋果是一家硬件公司。但它并不是。”他說，“蘋果是一家軟件公司。它的價值來自其iOS操作系統、App Store、iTunes和iCloud。” ??? 據埃因霍恩稱，對沖基金持股僅占蘋果9.35億股的5%，似乎這樣的持股比例不足以造成當日蘋果股價的突然下挫。 ??? 但管理這些基金的是那些對杠桿操作略知一二的經理們。 ??? 因此，如果你想弄明白是誰讓蘋果股價從4月9日的歷史高點644美元下跌100多美元至5月16日的541.04美元——市值蒸發960億美元，或許可以先看看5月16日是哪些人參加了在林肯中心（Lincoln Center）艾弗瑞費舍爾大廳（Avery Fisher Hall）舉辦的艾拉索恩年度投資研究會議（Ira Sohn Conference）探討市場狀況，并為兒童癌癥研究籌集資金。 |
??? See where the share price popped back up just before the closing bell? That happened after the next speaker, David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital, a hedge fund famous for taking very large short positions, said Grundlach was flat wrong. Apple won't lose its appeal if it stops making a new hit product every year. That "assumes that Apple is a hardware company. It's not," he said, according to the Wall Street Journal's account of the meeting. "Apple is a software company. Its value comes from iOS, the App Store, iTunes and iCloud." ??? According to Einhorn, hedge funds own only 5% of Apple's 935 million shares, as if to suggest that weren't enough to make a dent in the stock price. ??? But those funds are managed by guys who know a thing or two about leverage. ??? So if you are wondering who could have brought Apple's share price down more than $100 from its all-time high of $644 on April 9 to its low for the day of $541.04 -- carving $96 billion out of the company's market cap in the process -- you might start with the men who gathered Wednesday in Lincoln Center's Avery Fisher Hall for the Ira Sohn Conference to talk about the market and raise money for pediatric cancer research. |
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