一位人工智能專家兼風險投資人預測，自動化將導致勞動力市場出現重大變化。

李開復今年1月6日在哥倫比亞廣播公司（CBS）的《60分鐘》（60 Minutes）節目上接受斯科特·佩利采訪時表示，他認為世界上40％的工作將被能夠自動完成工作的機器人取代。他說，藍領和白領崗位都將受到影響，但司機受到的影響可能最大。

“私人司機、卡車司機以及其他任何以開車為生的人，他們的職業將在15至25年內遭遇嚴重挑戰?！彼诓稍L中說。“像廚師、服務員等看起來有點復雜的工作，很多事情也將實現自動化。”

李開復這種觀點不是最近才出現的。許多支持人工智能和自動化的人認為它們會對勞動力產生根本性的改變。但是，其中也有很多人相信，雖然會有一些工作受到影響，但人類會因為人工智能的出現找到新機會，走上新崗位。

埃倫·馬斯克曾經警告人類要警惕人工智能的力量，包括馬斯克在內有越來越多的反對者擔心自動化會對全人類造成威脅，尤其是對低收入勞動者產生較大影響。

盡管如此，包括李開復在內的許多人都認為人工智能的發展及其對社會的影響并未放緩。他將人工智能和歷史上的重大創新（如蒸汽機和電）類比，稱人類因為類似創新受到影響，但“已經熬過去了”。但他警告說，和其它創新相比，人工智能對人類的影響來得更加迅速。（財富中文網）

譯者：Agatha

An artificial intelligence expert and venture capitalist predicts automation will cause major changes in the workforce.

Speaking to CBS News’ Scott Pelley in an interview for 60 Minutes on January 6, Kai Fu Lee said that he believes 40% of the world’s jobs will be replaced by robots capable of automating tasks. He said that both blue collar and white collar professions will be affected, but he believes those who drive for a living could be most affected.

“Chauffeurs, truck drivers, anyone who does driving for a living—their jobs will be disrupted more in the 15-25 year time frame,” he said in the interview. “Many jobs that seem a little bit complex, chef, waiter, a lot of things will become automated.”

Lee’s comments are not necessarily new. Many who support artificial intelligence and automation believe that they can fundamentally change the workforce. But many of those people also believe that while some jobs could be affected, humans will find new opportunities surrounding artificial intelligence and take on new professions.

A growing number of detractors—including Elon Musk, who has warned about the power of artificial intelligence—worry that automation could disrupt entire communities and disproportionately affect low-income workers.

Still, many, including Lee, believe there’s no slowing down artificial intelligence and its impact on society. And he compared artificial intelligence to major innovations in history, like the steam engine and electricity, saying that humans were affected and have “gotten over it.” But he cautioned that artificial intelligence and its impact will hit us much sooner than those other innovations did.