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中美貿易戰于今天正式打響,接下來將會發生什么?

中美貿易戰于今天正式打響,接下來將會發生什么?

Grace Dobush 2018-07-06
兩國都決定在7月6日0時實施政策,這會給中國政府帶來12個小時的優勢。

圖片來源:視覺中國?

路透社報道稱,中美互相威脅對340億美元商品征收關稅,而這一政策在本周五生效時,中國擁有先手權。

兩國都決定在7月6日0時實施政策,這會給中國政府帶來12個小時的優勢。美國總統唐納德·特朗普威脅稱,如果中國對他25%的關稅政策進行報復,就要把關稅懲罰的范圍擴大到4,500億美元的商品。

美國即將征稅的中國商品清單中包含渦輪噴氣設備、稀土金屬和LED燈泡。路透社的分析師發現,美國從中國進口的這1,102種商品中只有1%是消費品。剩下的都是資產或中間產品,對它們征稅,可以讓美國企業的供應鏈降低對中國商品的依賴度。

中國征稅的商品包括豬肉、小麥、大米和乳制品。《南華早報》(South China Morning Post)表示,中國今年可能會取消從美國進口110萬噸大豆的訂單。美國全國廣播公司財經頻道(CNBC)表示,向中國出口的大豆占到了美國大豆總出口量的一半,其價值大約為每年140億美元。

中國的報紙將此舉描繪為逐漸升溫的貿易戰中,中國的反擊。中國外交部發言人陸慷在日常的新聞吹風會上表示:“中方已經做好準備,只要美方出臺所謂的加征關稅清單,中方將綜合使用各種必要措施,堅定捍衛自己的國家利益和人民利益。”

美國商會公開反對關稅。他們表示長期來看,全球貿易戰升溫會傷害美國消費者。這種效應將在何時給美國消費者造成直接沖擊,目前尚不明了,不過隨著存貨售空、中間商品關稅的涓滴效應出現,這種影響可能會遲到,但不會缺席。

7月16日和17日,在北京舉行的經濟高峰會議上,中歐官員將進行會晤。中國提議雙方發起反對美國的聯合行動,但歐盟方面目前不愿直接表態。(財富中文網)

譯者:嚴匡正

When mutually threatened tariffs on $34 billion goods come into effect this Friday, China will get a head start on the United States, Reuters reports.

Implementation is set to start at midnight June 6 in both countries, which gives Beijing a 12-hour advantage on Washington. President Donald Trump has threatened to increase the scope to $450 billion if China indeed retaliates against his 25% tariff.

The list of Chinese products targeted with U.S. tariffs include vaping devices, rare earth metals and LED light bulbs. A Reuters analysis found just 1% of the 1,102 categories of products imported from China to the U.S. are consumer goods. The rest are capital or intermediary products, taxed with the the intention of making American companies’ supply chains less reliant on Chinese goods.

China’s tariff targets include pork, wheat, rice and dairy products. The South China Morning Post said China is likely to cancel orders for 1.1 million tons of soybeans from the U.S. this year. China accounts for about half of America’s soybean exports, worth about $14 billion annually, CNBC says.

Chinese newspapers described the move as a counterstrike in an escalating trade war. “China has already made preparations. As long as the United States issues a so-called tariff list, China will take necessary measures to firmly protect its legitimate interests,” Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said at a daily news briefing.

The US Chamber of Commerce has spoken out against the tariffs, saying the escalating global trade war will hurt American consumers in the long run. It’s unclear when the effects will directly hit American consumers, but there will likely be some delay as inventory is sold off and the trickle-down effects of tariffs on intermediary goods take hold.

The European Union and China will meet for an economic summit in Beijing on July 16 and 17. China is pushing for joint action against the U.S. and WTO, though the EU has been reluctant to speak out so directly.

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