房地產顧問公司高力國際集團有限公司（Colliers International Group Inc）表示，香港住宅房地產價格明年將增長8%至10%。

2017年，香港政府一直在通過征稅和限制抵押貸款等措施，抑制全球最昂貴的房地產市場，但卻沒有取得成功。據彭博社報道，香港房地產價格增長了11%，而根據瑞銀全球房地產泡沫指數（UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index），房價的意外增長已經使香港進入了泡沫風險區。供應緊縮、貨幣貶值和“父母銀行”的問題，是房價上漲的主要常見因素。

彭博社還指出，迫切希望儲備土地的中國大陸開發商的慷慨報價，是房價上漲的另外一個原因。最近，中國大陸打擊規模龐大的“影子銀行”市場，可能導致一些投資的資金渠道中斷，使個別交易很難在短期內完成。

房地產顧問公司萊坊（Knight Frank LLP）預計，2018年，香港住房價格將增長5%，豪宅價格將增長8%。據彭博社報道，房地產市場將使最近幾個月增速放緩的預測落空，因為隨著投資者資金的涌入，從山頂道高檔社區的豪華住宅、未開發的住宅用地到市區商業地產的大規模交易均創下了歷史記錄。

第一太平戴維斯（Savills）的住宅開發與投資部高級副總監雷蒙德·何表示：“現在，熱錢的涌入已經使香港房地產市場非常火熱。未來還會創下更多記錄。”（財富中文網）

譯者：劉進龍/汪皓

Mass-market home prices are set to rise 8 to 10% next year in Hong Kong, according to property consultancy Colliers International Group Inc.

Throughout 2017 Hong Kong’s government has tried to rein in the world’s most expensive housing market by way of taxes and mortgage curbs to little success. Prices in the city have increased 11%, according to Bloomberg, and the unexpected growth has placed the city in bubble risk territory, as per the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index.Tight supply, cheap money, and the Bank of Mom and Dad are all routinely cited as big factors behind the rally.

Bloomberg also points to assertive bids by developers from mainland China who are eager to build up land banks as another reason. A new crackdown on the mainland’s vast ‘shadow banking’ market is threatening to cut off some avenues of investment, raising the pressure to get some deals done quickly.

Real estate consultant Knight Frank LLP expects home prices to increase 5% and luxury housing to rise 8% in 2018. The housing market has defied predictions of a slowdown in recent months as money from investors has flowed, with buyers setting record prices for everything from luxury homes in the exclusive Peak neighborhood, undeveloped residential land, and major deals for downtown commercial property, according to Bloomberg.

“Now it is very hot, because of the hot money rushing in,” said Raymond Ho, deputy senior director of residential development and investment at Savills. “There is more record-breaking coming.”