2017年1月15日星期日，瑞士警方經過位于達沃斯的會議中心。一年一度的世界經濟論壇（WEF）將在此舉辦。1月17日-20日，來自世界各地的國家領導人、具有影響力的企業高管、銀行家和決策者，將出席第47屆達沃斯世界經濟論壇（WEF）。

看來世界上最具影響力的領導者，開始日益擔心世界上最有權勢的領袖。這種擔憂甚至超過了氣候變化和金融恐慌，比如歐元的崩潰。

據世界經濟論壇（World Economic Forum）的一項最新調查顯示，大規模殺傷性武器成為全球領導者最擔心的問題。而且，這還是在特朗普于推特上表示開展新一輪軍備競賽的可能性之前的調查結果。世界經濟論壇進行該項調查已經有12個年頭，調查的對象為該組織750位成員，包括CEO、領導人和各領域的專家。該組織將在本周開始的達沃斯年度會議前一晚公布調查結果。

調查的時間為去年9月和10月初。

在調查結果所附的一份報告中，世界經濟論壇寫道，民族主義的崛起和世界強國之間的合作減少，將增加全球沖突的風險。

大規模殺傷性武器之前也曾進入過調查的榜單，但卻從未成為在次年潛在影響力最大的感知風險。去年，大規模殺傷性武器為世界領導人認為的第二大威脅，僅次于氣候變化。不過，氣候變化依舊是一項重要的威脅。在全球領導者眼中的前五大威脅中，其他四個均與氣候變化有關。威脅最大的是極端氣象事件，其次分別是用水危機、重大自然災害和氣候變化努力未能發揮作用。

與過去幾年的另外一項重要區別在于：對于一些金融震蕩對世界經濟的影響的擔憂不復存在。從2007年至2014年開始調查的前八年，“資產價格崩盤”或金融危機一直是調查中的頭號威脅。世界經濟論壇的成員更關注經濟問題。但在今年的調查中，對于市場的擔憂基本消失。不論潛在影響力還是發生概率統計，沒有任何一個經濟問題，成為2017年世界領導人眼中的前五大威脅。這是自從調查開始以來，經濟問題首次沒有進入這兩個榜單。在2009年和2010年，世界領導人認為可能當時的世界產生最大影響的前五大風險中，經濟問題占據了四席。

沒有對經濟問題的擔憂，表明經過金融危機之后的一系列改革，銀行和金融市場似乎變得更有彈性。這也可能代表了去年各種世界重大意外事件沒有給市場造成震動之后，世界市場的一種自滿情緒。

今年，世界領導人似乎更擔心的一個問題是，與之前幾年相比，越來越多更重視國內問題的政客上臺掌權。事實上，今年達沃斯論壇的主題就是負責任的領導力。

世界經濟論壇在年度風險報告中這樣寫道：“隨著技術、人口與氣候壓力加劇制度失敗的危險，世界強國之間的競爭和安全努力的崩潰，讓國際制度變得更加脆弱，使整體繁榮與生存面臨風險。”（財富中文網）

譯者：劉進龍/汪皓

Swiss police walk past the Congress Center, the venue for the World Economic Forum (WEF), in Davos, Switzerland, on Sunday, Jan. 15, 2017. World leaders, influential executives, bankers and policy makers attend the 47th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos from Jan. 17-20.

Some of the world's most powerful leaders are growing more concerned, it seems, about the world's most powerful leaders. More so, in fact, than climate change and financial panics, like a collapse of the euro.

Weapons of mass destruction now ranks as the No. 1 concern of global leaders, according to a new survey from the World Economic Forum. And that was before Trump tweeted about the possibility of a new arms race. It's the 12th year that the World Economic Forum has published the survey, which polls 750 of the group's members, including CEOs and leaders and experts in various fields. The organization publishes the survey on the eve of its annual confab in Davos, which kicks off this week.

The survey was conducted in September and early October.

In a report that accompanied the survey results, the World Economic Forum wrote that a rise of nationalism and less cooperation among world powers was raising the risks of global conflicts.

Weapons of mass destruction have come up as a concern before on the survey. But they have never ranked as the biggest perceived risk in terms of potential impact in the immediate year about which the world leaders were surveyed. Last year, WMDs were the second biggest concern of world leaders behind climate change. Nonetheless, climate change remains a major worry. Of the top five worries of global leaders, the other four are related to climate change. Among those, extreme weather conditions was the No. 1 concern, followed by water crisis, major natural disasters, and the failure of climate change efforts to make a difference.

Another big difference than in past years: The lack of concern about some sort of financial shock to the global economy. For the first eight years of the survey, from 2007 to 2014, "asset price collapse" or financial crisis ranked as the No. 1 concern on the survey. The WEF crowd is more focused on economic issues. Nonetheless, in this year's survey, concerns about markets have largely disappeared. Not a single economic issue made it in to either the top 5 concerns of world leaders for 2017 in either the potential biggest impact category or likeliest to happen. It was the first year in the survey's existence that an economic issue didn't show up in either list. In both 2009 and 2010, world leaders put down economic issues as four of their five biggest risks that could have the largest impacts on the world in that year.

The lack of concern about economic issues could reflect that fact that banks and financial markets do seem more resilient following reforms that were made after the financial crisis. It could also signal complacency about world markets following a year in which major world surprises failed to jolt markets.

Instead, this year, it appears world leaders are concerned that the rise to power of a growing number of politicians that seemed to be more focused on domestic issues than in recent years. Indeed, the theme of this years annual conference in Davos is responsible leadership.

"As technological, demographic and climate pressures intensify the danger of systems failure, competition among world powers and fragmentation of security efforts makes the international system more fragile, placing collective prosperity and survival at risk," the WEF wrote in its annual risk report.