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服務業穩步增長,世界第二大經濟體形勢企穩

服務業穩步增長,世界第二大經濟體形勢企穩

財富中文網 2016-11-11
中國正越來越依賴服務業創造就業機會和推動經濟增長,而且希望將經濟模式從傳統的投資和出口依賴轉向消費驅動。

一項非官方調查顯示,隨著新業務量回升,公司增加用工,中國服務業在10月份實現4個月來最快增速。

該項調查結果加上本周早些時候官方公布樂觀的工廠和服務業數據,進一步表明,世界第二大經濟體正在企穩。

中國正越來越依賴服務業創造就業機會和推動經濟增長,而且希望將經濟模式從傳統的投資和出口依賴轉向消費驅動。

經季節性調整后,財新/Markit服務業采購經理人指數(PMI)從9月的52.0上升至10月的52.4,為6月以來最高水平。

該指數高于50表明行業正在擴張。

服務業公司新工作量實現6月以來最快增速,但增速仍然不高。一些公司認為出現改善跡象是因為基本市場條件改善和相關的需求上升。

積壓工作量也略有增加,結束了連續四個月的輕微收縮勢頭。一些公司稱,訂單的增加正在造成產能壓力。

調查涉及的公司連續第二個月增加用工,雖然增幅不大,但增速創1月以來新高。

企業預期比上個月更積極,但仍然略低于8月,當時該預期達到6個月來高點。

所有指標均比上月有所改善,但是服務收費除外,原因是競爭加劇和努力獲得新業務削弱了一些公司的定價能力。大多數公司只能將10月份增加的投入成本中的一小部分予以轉嫁。

財新綜合PMI(包括制造業和服務業)從9月的51.4上升至52.9,創三年多以最快增速。

經濟學家們呼吁政府繼續給予政策支持,保持增長勢頭。

財新智庫莫尼塔(CEBM Group)宏觀研究主管鐘正生表示:“四季度經濟有望保持穩定,但在經濟經濟增長的內生動力不足的背景下,政策托底不能放松。”

中國官方服務業調查顯示10月份服務業增長強勁,指數增長創2015年12月以來最快增速。

制造業調查也顯示,受國內需求改善和建設熱潮推動,經濟正在企穩。

Markit是IHS Markit有限公司的注冊商標,主要調查對象是中小型企業,這些企業面臨的財務壓力大于大型國有企業。(財富中文網)

翻譯:Peter Pei

審校:夏林

China’s services sector grew at the strongest pace in four months in October as new business picked up, encouraging companies to hire more workers, a private survey showed.

The findings, along with upbeat official factory and services readings earlier this week, add to the view that the world’s second-largest economy is on a steadier footing.

Beijing is increasingly counting on the services sector to create jobs and drive growth as it looks to shift its economic model more toward consumption from a traditional reliance on investment and exports.

The Caixin/Markit services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 52.4 in October on a seasonally adjusted basis from 52.0 in September, posting the strongest reading since June.

A reading above the 50-mark suggests expansion in activity on a monthly basis.

Services companies saw the fastest growth in new work since June, though the pace was still modest. Some firms attributed the improvement to better underlying market conditions and an associated upturn in demand.

Backlogs of work also increased slightly, ending a four-month sequence of marginal contractions, as some firms reported the increase in orders was creating capacity pressures.

Companies in the survey added staff for the second month in a row, and at the fastest pace since January, though gains were moderate.

Business expectations were more positive than the previous month, but still slightly below August when they hit a six-month high.

All measures improved from the previous month except prices charged for services, as increased competition and efforts to attract new business have curbed the pricing power of some firms. Most companies were only able to pass along a small part of the increase seen in their input costs in October.

Caixin’s composite PMI covering both the manufacturing and services sectors expanded at the fastest pace in over three years, rising to 52.9 from September’s 51.4.

Economists called for continued government policy support to sustain the momentum.

“It may be possible to sustain this stable condition throughout the fourth quarter, but it’s important that supportive policies are not relaxed because the economy still lacks sufficient growth momentum,” said Zhengsheng Zhong, director of macroeconomic analysis at CEBM Group.

China’s official services survey showed robust growth in October, with the index rising at the fastest pace since December 2015.

Manufacturing surveys also suggested the economy was stabilizing, thanks to improved domestic demand and a construction boom.

The surveys by Markit, which is a registered trade mark of IHS Markit Limited, focus more on small and medium-sized firms, which have been facing greater financial strains than larger, state-owned companies.

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