本周末，沃特迪士尼的新作將會登陸各大影院，它可能會成為這家動畫公司史上最賣座的一部電影。

《海底總動員2：多莉去哪兒》（Finding Dory ）將于本周末在美國影院上映，它是2003年的動畫大片《海底總動員》（Finding Nemo）的續集。后者共贏得了9.36億美元的全球總票房。基于這部續作受到的強烈關注，分析師預計，首映周末的美國國內票房可能會達到1.2億美元。

這樣的表現將使得《多莉去哪兒》超越2010年《玩具總動員3》（Toy Story 3）首映票房的1.1億美元，成為迪斯尼擁有的皮克斯動畫工作室（Pixar Animation Studios）制作的電影中首映票房最高的一部。（2003年的《海底總動員》首映票房約為7,000萬美元，考慮到票價的通脹因素，折合現在的近1億美元。）

根據Box Office Mojo的數據，六年前的《玩具總動員3》的北美票房總計4.15億美元，全球票房高達10.6億美元，這兩項都是皮克斯之最。換句話說，如果《多莉去哪兒》首映周末的票房超過《玩具總動員3》，那么這部皮克斯的新作就會成為公司史上票房最高的電影，以及2016年的最賣座電影之一。【迪斯尼2013年的《冰雪奇緣》（Frozen）是史上票房最高的動畫電影，全球票房總計近13億美元。】

迪士尼已經統治了2016年的票房，到目前為止，今年的四部大片有三部出自他們。5月初上映的《美國隊長3：內戰》（Captain America: Civil War）已經贏得了11億美元的全球票房。同為動畫電影的《瘋狂動物城》（Zootopia），全球票房近來也突破了10億美元大關。《奇幻森林》（The Jungle Book）的全球票房也緊隨其后。計劃于2016年下半年上映的影片，也有望給公司帶來巨大利潤。其中包括將于下個月上映、由史蒂芬·斯皮爾伯格導演的《吹夢巨人》（The BFG）和11月上映的《莫阿娜》（Moana）。此外漫威超級英雄系列和星球大戰系列也推出了新作【分別是11月的《奇異博士》（Doctor Strange）和12月的《俠盜一號》（Rogue One）】。

《多莉去哪兒》將努力維持迪斯尼的連勝勢頭，本周末它的對手是相對弱勢的間諜喜劇片《烏龍特工》（Central Intelligence）。《好萊塢報道》（The Hollywood Reporter）預計后者的首映票房大約為3,000萬美元。（財富中文網）

譯者：嚴匡正

A new Walt Disney movie swims into theaters this weekend and it could end up as one of the biggest animated films of all-time.

The sequel to 2003’s Finding Nemo—an animated blockbuster in its own right, with $936 million in global box office sales—Finding Dory debuts in U.S. theaters this weekend and the new film’s strong tracking numbers have analysts predicting an opening weekend haul that could reach $120 million domestically.

That type of blockbuster weekend would give Finding Dory the biggest domestic opening ever for a movie made by the Disney-owned Pixar Animation Studios, surpassing the $110 million debut for 2010’s Toy Story 3. (In 2003,Finding Nemo opened to around $70 million, a number that nears $100 million when adjusted for ticket price inflation.)

Meanwhile, Toy Story 3 went on to gross $415 million in North America six years ago and $1.06 billion globally, both of which are records for Pixar, according to Box Office Mojo. In other words, if Finding Dory tops Toy Story 3‘s opening weekend gross, then the newest Pixar film would be on track to become the highest-grossing Pixar film ever and one of the biggest movies of 2016. (Disney’s Frozen, released in 2013, is the highest-grossing animated film ever, with nearly $1.3 billion in global box office.)

Walt Disney is already dominating the 2016 box office, with three of the four biggest releases so far this year, led by the early-May release Captain America: Civil War and its $1.1 billion global haul. March’s Zootopia, also animated, recently crossed the $1 billion-mark as well, while The Jungle Book is not far behind in terms of worldwide gross.Disney is also expected to see big returns for a handful of releases scheduled for the rest of 2016, from the Steven Spielberg-helmed The BFG next month to November’s animated feature Moana, as well as a new Marvel superhero movie (November’s Doctor Strange) and another entry from the Star Wars universe (Rogue One, in December).

Finding Dory will try to keep Disney’s winning streak alive this weekend against relatively weak competition from the spy comedy Central Intelligence, which The Hollywood Reporter only expects to pull in roughly $30 million for its opening turn.