????在天使投資領域，看準哪個項目能成功并非易事。這在很大程度上是個機遇問題。假如近代最成功的一些企業家，在創業之初向《創智贏家》（Shark Tank）的評委們推介自身項目，會得到怎樣的答復？我們猜想會出現以下對話。

????In the world of startup funding, spotting a winner is no simple task. Much of it comes down to chance. How would the judges of ABC’s Shark Tank respond to pitches from some of the most successful entrepreneurs in recent history when they were just starting out? Here’s how we imagine the conversations might have gone.

????埃隆?穆斯克（特斯拉創始人）

????我叫埃隆?穆斯克，我將徹底改變美國乃至全球汽車行業。我的特斯拉汽車將完全由電池驅動，完全不使用化石燃料，從而實現零排放。我希望以50億美元的價格，轉讓公司20％的股份。

????戴蒙德?約翰：市面上已經有了雪佛蘭Volt和豐田普銳斯等混合動力車，而且這類車的目標客戶群很小，對吧？

????是的，但我的電動車將與眾不同。

????戴蒙德?約翰：有何不同？

????其售價將近10萬美元，而且你將無法從汽車經銷商那里買到。

????戴蒙德?約翰：我沒聽錯吧？

????沒錯。而且此車需要在特殊的“加油站”進行充電，我需要從各位這里籌錢，在全美建造此類充電站。

????凱文?奧利里：你的車靠什么驅動？

????靠一種特殊的電池，目前還沒有什么廠家大規模生產這種電池。我還得請各位資助我一些錢來生產這種電池。不過，最初幾年，我們最多賣出約3萬輛車，所以電池生產應該不成問題。

????戴蒙德?約翰：我覺得你是在開玩笑。

????我是認真的。我閑暇時還建造宇宙飛船。

????凱文?奧利里：這聽著就不靠譜。我沒興趣。

????Elon Musk

????My name is Elon Musk and I’m about to revolutionize the auto industry, first in the United States and then all over the world. My Tesla cars will drive entirely powered by batteries, with zero emissions or fossil fuels. I’m seeking $5 billion for 20% of my company.

????Daymond John: We already have the Chevy Volt and the Toyota Prius on the road and the audience for this type of car is pretty small, right?

????Yes, but my electric car will be different.

????Daymond John: How?

????It will cost almost $100,000 and there will be no dealerships where you can purchase them.

????Daymond John: Come again?

????That’s right. And you’ll need to refuel them at special filling stations that I will also need funds from you to build, all over America.

????Kevin O’Leary: But what powers the car?

????Well, it’s a special kind of battery that no one really makes a lot of yet. I’m also going to need some cash from you to make those too. But we’re only going to sell around 30,000 cars, tops, during the first few years, so that shouldn’t be a problem.

????Daymond John: I feel like you’re playing a joke here.

????I’m totally serious. I also build spaceships in my spare time.

????Kevin O’Leary: This sounds insane. I’m out.