高盛全員降薪
????高盛的“宇宙主宰們”正在降低薪酬。但奇怪的是,沒什么人對(duì)此感到高興。 ????上周四,投資銀行高盛(Goldman Sachs)發(fā)布了第三季度營(yíng)收?qǐng)?bào)告。高盛的利潤(rùn)超出了分析師預(yù)期,其部分原因在于該公司生意不錯(cuò)。債券、大宗商品和衍生品交易部門的收入增長(zhǎng)了74%,首次公開發(fā)行(IPO)及其他股票發(fā)行的管理費(fèi)收入上漲了40%以上。 ????不過(guò),高盛利潤(rùn)超出分析師預(yù)期還有一個(gè)原因,那就是該公司給所有銀行家和交易員減了薪。 ????高盛把百分之多少的銷售額用來(lái)支付員工薪酬向來(lái)備受關(guān)注。今年第三季度,該比例為33%。高盛三季度收入為84億美元,也就是說(shuō),高盛員工三個(gè)月的平均收入仍高達(dá)8.3611萬(wàn)美元。不過(guò),高盛今年前兩季度的薪酬比例均為43%,如果該公司在第三季度沿用這一比例,那么其員工季度平均收入將高達(dá)10.7654美元。 ????薪酬比例下調(diào)為高盛省下了8億美元。如果不下調(diào)的話,高盛第三季度盈利將在14億美元左右,比分析師預(yù)期少了約1億美元,而不是像該公司實(shí)際報(bào)告的這樣,比預(yù)期高出7億美元。 ????那么,高盛良好的收益數(shù)據(jù)是否有“加工”之嫌? ????在某些分析師和投資者看來(lái),的確如此。盡管高盛凈利潤(rùn)上漲了近50%,上周四其股票收盤時(shí)卻股價(jià)告跌。(雖然另有言論稱,高盛股票遭拋售,是因?yàn)槿藗冊(cè)詾楦呤⒌膫袌?chǎng)交易收入會(huì)更高——該數(shù)值同比增長(zhǎng)了74%,比分析師預(yù)期高出了3億美元。不過(guò)這都是華爾街詭異的“預(yù)期”游戲的一部分。) ????在高盛的收益電話會(huì)議上,許多分析師向該公司首席財(cái)務(wù)官哈維?施瓦茨問(wèn)及薪酬比例下降問(wèn)題。2013年三季度,高盛也曾下調(diào)其薪酬比例,當(dāng)時(shí)是降至了35%。當(dāng)年另外三個(gè)季度,高盛的薪酬比例都維持在40%區(qū)間。當(dāng)時(shí),該行曾被指責(zé)用降薪來(lái)美化營(yíng)收數(shù)據(jù)。在收益電話會(huì)議上,就職于區(qū)域性證券公司Vinning Sparks的分析師馬蒂?莫斯比問(wèn)施瓦茨,高盛是否會(huì)考慮設(shè)定一個(gè)年度薪酬比率,而不是每季度波動(dòng)。施瓦茨的回答是:不會(huì)。 ????盡管如此,分析師和市場(chǎng)對(duì)高盛減薪的反應(yīng)很奇怪。首先,高盛每季度報(bào)告的員工薪酬數(shù)據(jù)某種程度上來(lái)說(shuō)是“加工”過(guò)的。高盛員工在七、八、九這三個(gè)月的平均收入并沒有8.3611萬(wàn)美元。普通高盛員工也并非每?jī)芍芫湍苣玫揭粡?.3935萬(wàn)美元的支票。他們拿到的錢可能比這少得多。 ????大多數(shù)華爾街員工都是年薪不高但獎(jiǎng)金豐厚,而獎(jiǎng)金是在每年年底或次年一月初發(fā)放。歷史上,華爾街員工的收入中,薪水只占20%,而獎(jiǎng)金占80%。但金融危機(jī)后,由于華爾街的高額獎(jiǎng)金遭人非議,薪水與獎(jiǎng)金的比例向薪水稍微有所傾斜。更重要的是,如今大部分獎(jiǎng)金是以受限股的形式發(fā)放。也就是說(shuō),大部分收入根本不會(huì)以現(xiàn)金的形式發(fā)放。 ????每季度出現(xiàn)在高盛的財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)表上決定該公司盈利的,其實(shí)是高盛為支付員工薪酬預(yù)留的資金。其金額大致等于高盛預(yù)估的年獎(jiǎng)金金額的四分之一。但直到年底高盛真正確定獎(jiǎng)金數(shù)額并發(fā)放獎(jiǎng)金時(shí),相關(guān)費(fèi)用才真正產(chǎn)生。因此,可以說(shuō)高盛是通過(guò)操縱自身薪酬支出來(lái)?yè)崞绞找妗?/p> ????另外,值得銘記于心的是,員工薪酬是高盛最大的開支項(xiàng)目,因此薪酬支出下降值得歡迎。華爾街向來(lái)喜歡削減成本。問(wèn)題在于,減薪是否是一次性做法。施瓦茨對(duì)分析師的回答表明,高盛不會(huì)作出承諾。 ????高盛或許別無(wú)選擇。華爾街公司的利潤(rùn)率不比從前,高盛尤其是如此。過(guò)去,高盛的股本回報(bào)率一貫在20%或更高。去年三季度,高盛的股本回報(bào)率僅為8%。但該行給員工發(fā)起錢來(lái)還是像過(guò)去一樣大方。高盛要想使自身利潤(rùn)率回升,只有降低員工薪酬。因此,減薪應(yīng)該不足為奇。令人詫異的是,高盛的宇宙主宰們居然這么久才意識(shí)到這一點(diǎn)。不過(guò),現(xiàn)在他們意識(shí)到了,這是件好事。如今社會(huì)日益關(guān)注收入差距的負(fù)面影響,減薪不僅對(duì)高盛有好處,而且對(duì)社會(huì)上的所有人都有好處。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)) |
????The Masters of the Universe are taking a pay cut. Surprisingly, few people are happy about it. ????On Thursday, Goldman Sachs GS 2.51% reported earnings for the third quarter. The investment bank’s profits were better than analysts were expecting. That was in part because Goldman’s business was good. Revenue from its bond, commodities, and derivatives trading desk was up by 74%, and fees from managing IPOs and other stock offerings was up more than 40%. ????But the unexpectedly good earnings news was also due in part to the fact that Goldman decided to pay its bankers and traders less. ????Goldman’s closely watched compensation ratio—the percentage of sales it sets aside for pay—in the third quarter was 33%. On $8.4 billion in revenue for the firm, that still equates to a lofty average pay of $83,611 for three months of work for the average Goldmanite. But had Goldman paid its employees the same ratio of sales that it did in the first and second quarter, which was 43%, the bank’s average worker would have received $107,654. ????The pay cut saved Goldman $800 million. Without it, the bank’s third quarter earnings would have been more like $1.4 billion, or about $100 million less than what analysts were expecting, rather than the $700 million more that the firm actually reported. ????So did Goldman manufacture its good earnings? ????Some analysts and investors seem to think so. Goldman’s shares traded down yesterday, despite its nearly 50% reported bottom line jump. (Although some argue that the sell off was due to the fact that some thought the bank’s bond market trading revenue—which was, again, up 74% from the year before, and $300 million more than analysts were expecting—was going to be even higher. But that’s all part of Wall Street’s weird expectations game.) ????On the bank’s earnings conference call, a number of analysts probed Goldman CFO Harvey Schwartz about its compensation ratio drop. Goldman similarly dropped its compensation ratio in the third quarter of 2013, that time to 35%. For the rest of the year, it paid in the 40% range. At the time, the bank was criticized for lowering its pay numbers to make its earnings. At one point in the call, analyst Marty Mosby, who works for a regional brokerage firm Vinning Sparks, asked Schwartz whether Goldman would consider setting one compensation ratio for the year, and not changing it quarter by quarter. Schwartz’s answer: Nope. ????Still, the analysts and the market’s reaction to Goldman’s lower pay is odd. First of all, the compensation numbers that Goldman reports each quarter are sort of made up. Goldman’s employees did not receive an average of $83,611 during July, August, and September. It’s not like the average Goldman worker gets a check every two weeks for $13,935. They probably got a whole lot less. ????Most Wall Street employees get a small annual salary and a big bonus, which comes at the end of the year or in early January. The ratio has historically been 20% salary to 80% bonus. But after the financial crisis, the salary-to-bonus ratio shifted a bit toward salary when bonuses got a bad rep. What’s more, much of that bonus these days comes in the form of restricted stock. So much of that money will never get paid out as an actual cash deposit. ????What shows up in Goldman’s financial statements each quarter, and what is used to determine its earnings, is the amount of money the company sets aside each quarter to pay its employees. It’s an estimate of one quarter of what Goldman thinks those end of the year bonuses will be. But Goldman doesn’t actually incur the compensation expense until the end of the year when the actual bonuses are determined and paid out. So it’s fair to say that Goldman is smoothing its earnings by manipulating its compensation expense. That’s what it always does. ????It’s also worth remembering that compensation is Goldman’s biggest expense. So a drop should be welcome. Wall Street typically loves cost cutting. The question is whether this is a one-time thing. And Goldman, as Schwartz’s answer to the analyst indicates, won’t commit. ????But it may not have a choice. Wall Street, and Goldman in particular, is not as profitable as it once was. Goldman used to consistently have a return on equity of 20% or higher. In the third quarter a year ago, it was 8%. But the bank is still paying like it is making a 20% return. The only way it’s going to get its profitability back up is to pay its workers less. So the pay cuts should not be coming as a surprise. The surprise is how long it has taken the Masters of the Universe at Goldman to realize this. Now that they have, it’s a good thing. And at a time when we are increasingly concerned with the negative effects of income equality, it’s not just good for Goldman, but for all of us. |
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