????上周二公布的一項能源財經報告顯示，到2030年會有將近8萬億美元的資金投入到世界各地的新增發電量上，其中有三分之二的資金將投入到可再生能源技術領域。

????彭博新能源財經（Bloomberg New Energy Finance）公布的這份《2030年市場前景報告》預計，在5.1萬億美元的可再生能源新增開支中，亞太地區大約占據了一半的份額，之后是歐洲地區的9,670億美元，中東和非洲地區的8,180億美元，以及美洲地區的8,160億美元。

????報告還預測，到2030年，化石燃料在總發電量中將仍然占據著44%的最大份額，但相比目前64%的比例將出現大幅下降。屆時，在1,073千兆瓦新增發電量中，絕大部分將來自于印度和中國這些嚴重依賴于化石燃料來促進經濟蓬勃發展的發展中國家。

????“相比其它一些主流預測，這種按國家和技術類別來區分的能源市場投資預測更看好可再生能源未來在總發電量中所占據的份額，主要是因為我們對持續成本降低抱有更加樂觀的看法，” 彭博新能源財經咨詢委員會的主席邁克爾?利布瑞查在一份聲明中稱。

????他補充說：“我們預計到下一個十年期結束時，全球二氧化碳排放量將會出現停止增長。但由于發展中國家的快速發展，發展中國家的化石燃料發電量以及可再生能源發電量都在持續增加，排放峰值的出現時間只會不斷延后。”

????可再生能源將在歐洲地區保持強勁增長勢頭，報告預計到2030年它將會增加60%；與此同時，煤炭和天然氣一類的傳統礦物燃料的使用量將有望減少近三分之一。

????通過對電力市場供應和需求、技術成本演變以及個別國家和地區政策發展情況進行建模之后，這份報告還預測，到2030年，歐洲地區將會新增557千兆瓦的可再生能源發電量。而在同一時期內，隨著排放法規的管制以及成本生成對比的結果逐漸傾向于可再生能源，燃煤發電量將會從195千兆瓦萎縮至125千兆瓦。（財富中文網）

????譯者：徐黃兆

????Nearly $8 trillion will be invested in new generating capacity around the world by 2030, according to an energy finance report released Tuesday, with two-thirds of that going to renewable technologies.

????The report, Bloomberg New Energy Finance 2030 Market Outlook, predicts Asia-Pacific will see about half of the $5.1 trillion in new spending on renewables, followed by $967 billion in Europe, $818 billion in the Middle East and Africa, and $816 billion in the Americas.

????The report predicts that fossil fuel will still provide the biggest share of power generation by 2030 at 44 percent, although that is a significant drop from current rates of 64 percent. Most of the 1,073GW in new capacity will come in developing countries, such as India and China, which depend heavily on coal to feed their booming economies.

????“This country-by-country, technology-by-technology forecast of power market investment is more bullish on renewable energy’s future share of total generation than some of the other major forecasts, largely because we have a more bullish view of continuing cost reductions,” Michael Liebreich, chairman of the advisory board for Bloomberg New Energy Finance, said in a statement.

????“What we are seeing is global CO2 emissions on track to stop growing by the end of next decade, with the peak only pushed back because of fast-growing developing countries, which continue adding fossil fuel capacity as well as renewables,” he added.

????Renewables will continue their strong growth in Europe, with the report projecting they will increase by 60 percent by 2030, while traditional fossil fuels such as coal and gas are expected to drop by nearly a third.

????Modeling electricity market supply and demand, technology cost evolution and policy development in individual countries and regions, the report forecasts that 557GW of new renewable power capacity will come online in Europe by 2030. In the same period, coal-fired capacity will shrink from 195GW to 125GW, as emission regulations take hold and the cost-of-generation comparison shifts in favor of renewables.