《財富》水晶球:2014全球大事預測
Ryan Bradley, Geoff Colvin, Catherine Dunn, Leigh Gallagher, Stephen Gandel, Miguel Helft, Jessi Hempel, Marty Jones, Adam Lashinsky, JP Mangalindan, Megan McCarthy, Tory Newmyer, Jennifer Reingold, Daniel Roberts, Alex Taylor, Shawn Tully, and Jen Wieczner
2014-01-08
新的一年會不會爆出更大規模的監控丑聞?蘋果會不會推出堪與iPod、iPhone、iPad比肩的重磅新產品?北極資源爭奪戰會不會擦槍走火?電動汽車會不會大流行?比特幣能否進入主流?……新年到來之際,《財富》預測了2014年可能會發生的重大事件。
????亞馬遜將收購USPS ????連續7年凈虧損,聽起來跟亞馬遜投資的其他初創公司非常相似。只不過,我們討論的是一家2013財年虧損高達50億美元的機構,沒錯,它就是美國郵政總局(U.S. Postal Service,簡稱USPS ),亞馬遜將宣布其免費收購計劃。郵政工會勢必會竭力反對;無人機大概會在空中竊喜不已(不,這一幕不會也不可能在2014年發生。但USPS在2020年前私有化的幾率恐怕就沒這么小了)。 ????概率: 22%。 |
????Amazon.com will buy the post office ????Seven straight years with a net loss. Sounds a lot like other startups Amazon has invested in. Except we're talking about a fiscal 2013 loss of $5 billion, and we're also talking about the U.S. Postal Service, which Amazon announces it will buy for, well, free. Unions are up in arms; drones rejoice. (No, this won't and can't happen in 2014. But the odds of the USPS getting privatized by 2020? Hey, not that small ...) ????Odds: 22%. |